Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Dutch meteorological service points to a daily maximum of 23°C at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol on June 16, 2026, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-June climatology in the region features average highs near 20–23°C under moderate westerly flow, with today’s conditions featuring partly cloudy skies, light winds, and no significant frontal systems to drive deviations. Official resolution relies on the precise hourly observation at Schiphol; minor model spread or localized urban effects could produce a 22°C or 24°C reading, though current data and real-time trends strongly favor the 23°C threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 16?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 16?
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$72,742 Vol.
$72,742 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$72,742 Vol.
$72,742 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
16°C or below
$3,404 Vol.
No
17°C
$496 Vol.
No
18°C
$769 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,698 Vol.
No
20°C
$5,426 Vol.
No
21°C
$24,735 Vol.
No
22°C
$11,121 Vol.
No
23°C
$8,835 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$6,900 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,368 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$4,990 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Dutch meteorological service points to a daily maximum of 23°C at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol on June 16, 2026, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-June climatology in the region features average highs near 20–23°C under moderate westerly flow, with today’s conditions featuring partly cloudy skies, light winds, and no significant frontal systems to drive deviations. Official resolution relies on the precise hourly observation at Schiphol; minor model spread or localized urban effects could produce a 22°C or 24°C reading, though current data and real-time trends strongly favor the 23°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$72,742End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Dutch meteorological service points to a daily maximum of 23°C at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol on June 16, 2026, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-June climatology in the region features average highs near 20–23°C under moderate westerly flow, with today’s conditions featuring partly cloudy skies, light winds, and no significant frontal systems to drive deviations. Official resolution relies on the precise hourly observation at Schiphol; minor model spread or localized urban effects could produce a 22°C or 24°C reading, though current data and real-time trends strongly favor the 23°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$72,742End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Dutch meteorological service points to a daily maximum of 23°C at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol on June 16, 2026, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-June climatology in the region features average highs near 20–23°C under moderate westerly flow, with today’s conditions featuring partly cloudy skies, light winds, and no significant frontal systems to drive deviations. Official resolution relies on the precise hourly observation at Schiphol; minor model spread or localized urban effects could produce a 22°C or 24°C reading, though current data and real-time trends strongly favor the 23°C threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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