Official observations from Amsterdam Airport Schiphol, the designated station for this market, confirm the highest temperature on May 3, 2026, reached 17°C around midday, with peaks of 63°F (17.2°C) amid overcast skies, light rain showers, and high humidity near 84%. This outcome aligns precisely with pre-event KNMI nowcasts and consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecast models, which projected subdued highs due to a cool maritime air mass and persistent cloud cover following warmer conditions on May 1 (23°C). May climatology typically features average highs around 16°C, providing historical context for this mild reading. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects verified meteorological data; realistic challenges would require rare post hoc revisions from quality assurance processes, though preliminary reports are final in practice.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 3?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 3?
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$50,677 Vol.
$50,677 Vol.
May 3, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$50,677 Vol.
$50,677 Vol.
May 3, 2026
11°C or below
$1,501 Vol.
No
12°C
$1,844 Vol.
No
13°C
$1,920 Vol.
No
14°C
$1,300 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,875 Vol.
No
16°C
$4,467 Vol.
No
17°C
$10,883 Vol.
Yes
18°C
$11,077 Vol.
No
19°C
$6,252 Vol.
No
20°C
$6,330 Vol.
No
21°C or higher
$3,229 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Amsterdam Airport Schiphol, the designated station for this market, confirm the highest temperature on May 3, 2026, reached 17°C around midday, with peaks of 63°F (17.2°C) amid overcast skies, light rain showers, and high humidity near 84%. This outcome aligns precisely with pre-event KNMI nowcasts and consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecast models, which projected subdued highs due to a cool maritime air mass and persistent cloud cover following warmer conditions on May 1 (23°C). May climatology typically features average highs around 16°C, providing historical context for this mild reading. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects verified meteorological data; realistic challenges would require rare post hoc revisions from quality assurance processes, though preliminary reports are final in practice.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$50,677End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Amsterdam Airport Schiphol, the designated station for this market, confirm the highest temperature on May 3, 2026, reached 17°C around midday, with peaks of 63°F (17.2°C) amid overcast skies, light rain showers, and high humidity near 84%. This outcome aligns precisely with pre-event KNMI nowcasts and consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecast models, which projected subdued highs due to a cool maritime air mass and persistent cloud cover following warmer conditions on May 1 (23°C). May climatology typically features average highs around 16°C, providing historical context for this mild reading. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects verified meteorological data; realistic challenges would require rare post hoc revisions from quality assurance processes, though preliminary reports are final in practice.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$50,677End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from Amsterdam Airport Schiphol, the designated station for this market, confirm the highest temperature on May 3, 2026, reached 17°C around midday, with peaks of 63°F (17.2°C) amid overcast skies, light rain showers, and high humidity near 84%. This outcome aligns precisely with pre-event KNMI nowcasts and consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecast models, which projected subdued highs due to a cool maritime air mass and persistent cloud cover following warmer conditions on May 1 (23°C). May climatology typically features average highs around 16°C, providing historical context for this mild reading. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects verified meteorological data; realistic challenges would require rare post hoc revisions from quality assurance processes, though preliminary reports are final in practice.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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