Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 14°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 20, anchored by official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station, which recorded a midday peak of 14°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. METAR aviation reports corroborate this, showing temperatures topping out at 14°C around 15:50 local time amid a cool air mass suppressing typical April highs of 16–18°C. This positioning reflects verified measurement data rather than forecasts, with resolution imminent upon final MGM validation. Realistic challenges include rare post-initial data revisions uncovering an overlooked higher reading from automated sensors, though preliminary reports show strong alignment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on April 20?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 20?
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$96,658 Vol.
$96,658 Vol.
Apr 20, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$96,658 Vol.
$96,658 Vol.
Apr 20, 2026
8°C or below
$2,669 Vol.
No
9°C
$1,840 Vol.
No
10°C
$5,396 Vol.
No
11°C
$6,566 Vol.
No
12°C
$16,340 Vol.
No
13°C
$11,601 Vol.
No
14°C
$17,310 Vol.
Yes
15°C
$15,800 Vol.
No
16°C
$8,972 Vol.
No
17°C
$4,736 Vol.
No
18°C or higher
$5,427 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 14°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 20, anchored by official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station, which recorded a midday peak of 14°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. METAR aviation reports corroborate this, showing temperatures topping out at 14°C around 15:50 local time amid a cool air mass suppressing typical April highs of 16–18°C. This positioning reflects verified measurement data rather than forecasts, with resolution imminent upon final MGM validation. Realistic challenges include rare post-initial data revisions uncovering an overlooked higher reading from automated sensors, though preliminary reports show strong alignment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 18, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$96,658End Date
Apr 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 18, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 14°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 20, anchored by official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station, which recorded a midday peak of 14°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. METAR aviation reports corroborate this, showing temperatures topping out at 14°C around 15:50 local time amid a cool air mass suppressing typical April highs of 16–18°C. This positioning reflects verified measurement data rather than forecasts, with resolution imminent upon final MGM validation. Realistic challenges include rare post-initial data revisions uncovering an overlooked higher reading from automated sensors, though preliminary reports show strong alignment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$96,658End Date
Apr 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 18, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 14°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 20, anchored by official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station, which recorded a midday peak of 14°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. METAR aviation reports corroborate this, showing temperatures topping out at 14°C around 15:50 local time amid a cool air mass suppressing typical April highs of 16–18°C. This positioning reflects verified measurement data rather than forecasts, with resolution imminent upon final MGM validation. Realistic challenges include rare post-initial data revisions uncovering an overlooked higher reading from automated sensors, though preliminary reports show strong alignment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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