National Weather Service forecasts for Austin, Texas, project a high temperature of 66-67°F on April 20, aligning with the market's 95.9% implied probability for 69°F or below, as cooler air surges behind an advancing cold front expected over the weekend. Current ensemble model guidance from NOAA indicates persistent cloud cover, north winds at 8 mph, and light rain chances near 24%, suppressing daytime heating well below the typical April average of 80°F. Trader sentiment reflects strong scientific consensus on these atmospheric dynamics, with historical analogs showing similar frontal passages yielding comparable subdued highs. Realistic challenges include front stalling or unexpected clearing, potentially nudging temps into the low 70s, though updated NWS advisories tomorrow will refine this outlook.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on April 20?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 20?
69°F or below 95.5%
70-71°F 2.2%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
NEW
$32,854 Vol.
NEW
$32,854 Vol.
Apr 20, 2026
69°F or below
96%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
69°F or below 95.5%
70-71°F 2.2%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
NEW
$32,854 Vol.
NEW
$32,854 Vol.
Apr 20, 2026
69°F or below
$4,524 Vol.
96%
70-71°F
$4,906 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$2,594 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$2,694 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$3,154 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$4,466 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$2,573 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$2,217 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$2,221 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$2,238 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$2,345 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Austin, Texas, project a high temperature of 66-67°F on April 20, aligning with the market's 95.9% implied probability for 69°F or below, as cooler air surges behind an advancing cold front expected over the weekend. Current ensemble model guidance from NOAA indicates persistent cloud cover, north winds at 8 mph, and light rain chances near 24%, suppressing daytime heating well below the typical April average of 80°F. Trader sentiment reflects strong scientific consensus on these atmospheric dynamics, with historical analogs showing similar frontal passages yielding comparable subdued highs. Realistic challenges include front stalling or unexpected clearing, potentially nudging temps into the low 70s, though updated NWS advisories tomorrow will refine this outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 18, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$32,854End Date
Apr 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 18, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Austin, Texas, project a high temperature of 66-67°F on April 20, aligning with the market's 95.9% implied probability for 69°F or below, as cooler air surges behind an advancing cold front expected over the weekend. Current ensemble model guidance from NOAA indicates persistent cloud cover, north winds at 8 mph, and light rain chances near 24%, suppressing daytime heating well below the typical April average of 80°F. Trader sentiment reflects strong scientific consensus on these atmospheric dynamics, with historical analogs showing similar frontal passages yielding comparable subdued highs. Realistic challenges include front stalling or unexpected clearing, potentially nudging temps into the low 70s, though updated NWS advisories tomorrow will refine this outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$32,854End Date
Apr 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 18, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Austin, Texas, project a high temperature of 66-67°F on April 20, aligning with the market's 95.9% implied probability for 69°F or below, as cooler air surges behind an advancing cold front expected over the weekend. Current ensemble model guidance from NOAA indicates persistent cloud cover, north winds at 8 mph, and light rain chances near 24%, suppressing daytime heating well below the typical April average of 80°F. Trader sentiment reflects strong scientific consensus on these atmospheric dynamics, with historical analogs showing similar frontal passages yielding comparable subdued highs. Realistic challenges include front stalling or unexpected clearing, potentially nudging temps into the low 70s, though updated NWS advisories tomorrow will refine this outlook.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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