Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% for a highest temperature of 69°F or below in Austin on April 20, 2026, reflecting confirmed National Weather Service observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS), which recorded a daily maximum of 61°F amid persistent overcast skies, light rain, and mist from a lingering frontal boundary. Low-level moisture trapped by the stalled front sharply reduced insolation, capping daytime heating below forecast expectations of near 69°F and keeping hourly readings between 55°F and 61°F. This positioning aligns with ASOS data showing 0.03 inches of precipitation and mostly cloudy conditions throughout the day. Scenarios challenging this include rare preliminary data revisions from NWS final summaries, though such adjustments are minimal for routine temperature records.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on April 20?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 20?
69°F or below 100.0%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$104,740 Vol.
$104,740 Vol.
Apr 20, 2026
69°F or below
Yes
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
69°F or below 100.0%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$104,740 Vol.
$104,740 Vol.
Apr 20, 2026
69°F or below
$19,673 Vol.
Yes
70-71°F
$21,858 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$11,276 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$8,753 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$7,620 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$8,916 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$5,447 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$5,820 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$5,036 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$5,114 Vol.
No
88°F or higher
$5,229 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% for a highest temperature of 69°F or below in Austin on April 20, 2026, reflecting confirmed National Weather Service observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS), which recorded a daily maximum of 61°F amid persistent overcast skies, light rain, and mist from a lingering frontal boundary. Low-level moisture trapped by the stalled front sharply reduced insolation, capping daytime heating below forecast expectations of near 69°F and keeping hourly readings between 55°F and 61°F. This positioning aligns with ASOS data showing 0.03 inches of precipitation and mostly cloudy conditions throughout the day. Scenarios challenging this include rare preliminary data revisions from NWS final summaries, though such adjustments are minimal for routine temperature records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 18, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$104,740End Date
Apr 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 18, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% for a highest temperature of 69°F or below in Austin on April 20, 2026, reflecting confirmed National Weather Service observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS), which recorded a daily maximum of 61°F amid persistent overcast skies, light rain, and mist from a lingering frontal boundary. Low-level moisture trapped by the stalled front sharply reduced insolation, capping daytime heating below forecast expectations of near 69°F and keeping hourly readings between 55°F and 61°F. This positioning aligns with ASOS data showing 0.03 inches of precipitation and mostly cloudy conditions throughout the day. Scenarios challenging this include rare preliminary data revisions from NWS final summaries, though such adjustments are minimal for routine temperature records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$104,740End Date
Apr 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 18, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% for a highest temperature of 69°F or below in Austin on April 20, 2026, reflecting confirmed National Weather Service observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS), which recorded a daily maximum of 61°F amid persistent overcast skies, light rain, and mist from a lingering frontal boundary. Low-level moisture trapped by the stalled front sharply reduced insolation, capping daytime heating below forecast expectations of near 69°F and keeping hourly readings between 55°F and 61°F. This positioning aligns with ASOS data showing 0.03 inches of precipitation and mostly cloudy conditions throughout the day. Scenarios challenging this include rare preliminary data revisions from NWS final summaries, though such adjustments are minimal for routine temperature records.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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