National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for early June consistently indicated a daytime high near 90°F in Austin on June 6, supported by typical southerly flow, moderate humidity, and scattered afternoon convection that caps peak heating under the Saffir-Simpson or standard surface observation criteria at Austin Bergstrom International Airport. This alignment produced the market's near-certain consensus on the 90-91°F bin. Traders weigh historical June climatology showing average highs around 93°F against localized factors like cloud cover or outflow boundaries that could shift the observed maximum by a degree or two, though revised model runs through June 5 reinforced the narrow range. Resolution depends on the official daily maximum reported by the National Weather Service.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on June 6?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 6?
90-91°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$69,755 Vol.
$69,755 Vol.
Jun 6, 2026
77°F or below
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
Yes
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96°F or higher
No
90-91°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$69,755 Vol.
$69,755 Vol.
Jun 6, 2026
77°F or below
$16,632 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$10,021 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$5,238 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$11,409 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$2,607 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$4,296 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$4,382 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$4,611 Vol.
Yes
92-93°F
$4,233 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$3,061 Vol.
No
96°F or higher
$3,267 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for early June consistently indicated a daytime high near 90°F in Austin on June 6, supported by typical southerly flow, moderate humidity, and scattered afternoon convection that caps peak heating under the Saffir-Simpson or standard surface observation criteria at Austin Bergstrom International Airport. This alignment produced the market's near-certain consensus on the 90-91°F bin. Traders weigh historical June climatology showing average highs around 93°F against localized factors like cloud cover or outflow boundaries that could shift the observed maximum by a degree or two, though revised model runs through June 5 reinforced the narrow range. Resolution depends on the official daily maximum reported by the National Weather Service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Volume
$69,755End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for early June consistently indicated a daytime high near 90°F in Austin on June 6, supported by typical southerly flow, moderate humidity, and scattered afternoon convection that caps peak heating under the Saffir-Simpson or standard surface observation criteria at Austin Bergstrom International Airport. This alignment produced the market's near-certain consensus on the 90-91°F bin. Traders weigh historical June climatology showing average highs around 93°F against localized factors like cloud cover or outflow boundaries that could shift the observed maximum by a degree or two, though revised model runs through June 5 reinforced the narrow range. Resolution depends on the official daily maximum reported by the National Weather Service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$69,755End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for early June consistently indicated a daytime high near 90°F in Austin on June 6, supported by typical southerly flow, moderate humidity, and scattered afternoon convection that caps peak heating under the Saffir-Simpson or standard surface observation criteria at Austin Bergstrom International Airport. This alignment produced the market's near-certain consensus on the 90-91°F bin. Traders weigh historical June climatology showing average highs around 93°F against localized factors like cloud cover or outflow boundaries that could shift the observed maximum by a degree or two, though revised model runs through June 5 reinforced the narrow range. Resolution depends on the official daily maximum reported by the National Weather Service.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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