Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a daily maximum of 13–15°C in Buenos Aires on June 29, 2026, driven by typical mid-winter conditions with southerly flow and limited daytime heating. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 15°C (37.5%), 14°C (22.5%), and 16°C (22.5%), reflecting trader consensus on near-average June highs near 14–15°C. Recent model runs show minimal variability from cloud cover or frontal passages, keeping probabilities clustered in this range rather than extremes. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and seasonal baselines confirm these values as the most probable, with low odds for 17°C+ or below 13°C due to stable atmospheric patterns ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 29?
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$40,328 Vol.
$40,328 Vol.
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$40,328 Vol.
$40,328 Vol.
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 27, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a daily maximum of 13–15°C in Buenos Aires on June 29, 2026, driven by typical mid-winter conditions with southerly flow and limited daytime heating. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 15°C (37.5%), 14°C (22.5%), and 16°C (22.5%), reflecting trader consensus on near-average June highs near 14–15°C. Recent model runs show minimal variability from cloud cover or frontal passages, keeping probabilities clustered in this range rather than extremes. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and seasonal baselines confirm these values as the most probable, with low odds for 17°C+ or below 13°C due to stable atmospheric patterns ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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