Recent observational data and ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration align on a daily maximum of 30°C in Busan for June 17, driven by warm southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and above-average sea surface temperatures enhancing daytime heating along the southeastern coast. This outcome reflects the convergence of multiple model runs showing peak readings near that threshold during afternoon hours, consistent with climatological norms for mid-June under developing summer monsoon influences. While 100% market-implied odds indicate strong trader consensus, an unexpected increase in onshore breeze or earlier precipitation could cap temperatures below 30°C, though current guidance assigns low probability to such shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on June 17?
Highest temperature in Busan on June 17?
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$69,529 Vol.
$69,529 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$69,529 Vol.
$69,529 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
26°C or below
$5,716 Vol.
No
27°C
$10,553 Vol.
No
28°C
$7,686 Vol.
No
29°C
$19,249 Vol.
No
30°C
$13,184 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$6,631 Vol.
No
32°C
$3,438 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,037 Vol.
No
34°C
$1,186 Vol.
No
35°C
$358 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$492 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration align on a daily maximum of 30°C in Busan for June 17, driven by warm southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and above-average sea surface temperatures enhancing daytime heating along the southeastern coast. This outcome reflects the convergence of multiple model runs showing peak readings near that threshold during afternoon hours, consistent with climatological norms for mid-June under developing summer monsoon influences. While 100% market-implied odds indicate strong trader consensus, an unexpected increase in onshore breeze or earlier precipitation could cap temperatures below 30°C, though current guidance assigns low probability to such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$69,529End Date
Jun 17, 2026Market Opened
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration align on a daily maximum of 30°C in Busan for June 17, driven by warm southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and above-average sea surface temperatures enhancing daytime heating along the southeastern coast. This outcome reflects the convergence of multiple model runs showing peak readings near that threshold during afternoon hours, consistent with climatological norms for mid-June under developing summer monsoon influences. While 100% market-implied odds indicate strong trader consensus, an unexpected increase in onshore breeze or earlier precipitation could cap temperatures below 30°C, though current guidance assigns low probability to such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$69,529End Date
Jun 17, 2026Market Opened
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent observational data and ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration align on a daily maximum of 30°C in Busan for June 17, driven by warm southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and above-average sea surface temperatures enhancing daytime heating along the southeastern coast. This outcome reflects the convergence of multiple model runs showing peak readings near that threshold during afternoon hours, consistent with climatological norms for mid-June under developing summer monsoon influences. While 100% market-implied odds indicate strong trader consensus, an unexpected increase in onshore breeze or earlier precipitation could cap temperatures below 30°C, though current guidance assigns low probability to such shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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