**Forecast models for Busan on June 27, 2026, currently cluster around daily maximums of 26–28°C, with the market split tightly between 27°C and 28°C as the most probable outcomes.** This narrow distribution reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction two days ahead, where small differences in boundary-layer conditions or timing of any coastal effects can shift the observed high by 1–2°C. Busan’s coastal setting introduces key variables: the sea breeze typically peaks in the afternoon and can cap temperatures, while any onshore flow or marine layer clouds reduces insolation. Clearer skies under a building high-pressure ridge favor the upper end of the range (near 28°C), whereas increased low-level moisture or scattered showers—common as the East Asian monsoon approaches—would favor 27°C or lower by limiting daytime heating. Ensemble spreads from global and regional models (including KMA guidance) show modest disagreement on exact cloud cover and wind direction for the 27th, keeping probabilities closely matched. Historical June climatology for Busan places average daily highs near 25–26°C, so current conditions sit slightly above normal amid early-season warming. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and any KMA updates that could refine the maximum before resolution, with the tight spread underscoring how sensitive the outcome remains to these final adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on June 27?
Highest temperature in Busan on June 27?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$65,790 Vol.
$65,790 Vol.
Jun 27, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$65,790 Vol.
$65,790 Vol.
Jun 27, 2026
22°C or below
$4,438 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,467 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,447 Vol.
No
25°C
$10,506 Vol.
No
26°C
$9,656 Vol.
No
27°C
$11,273 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$9,041 Vol.
No
29°C
$8,375 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,979 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,645 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$2,964 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Busan on June 27, 2026, currently cluster around daily maximums of 26–28°C, with the market split tightly between 27°C and 28°C as the most probable outcomes.** This narrow distribution reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction two days ahead, where small differences in boundary-layer conditions or timing of any coastal effects can shift the observed high by 1–2°C.
Busan’s coastal setting introduces key variables: the sea breeze typically peaks in the afternoon and can cap temperatures, while any onshore flow or marine layer clouds reduces insolation. Clearer skies under a building high-pressure ridge favor the upper end of the range (near 28°C), whereas increased low-level moisture or scattered showers—common as the East Asian monsoon approaches—would favor 27°C or lower by limiting daytime heating. Ensemble spreads from global and regional models (including KMA guidance) show modest disagreement on exact cloud cover and wind direction for the 27th, keeping probabilities closely matched.
Historical June climatology for Busan places average daily highs near 25–26°C, so current conditions sit slightly above normal amid early-season warming. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and any KMA updates that could refine the maximum before resolution, with the tight spread underscoring how sensitive the outcome remains to these final adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$65,790End Date
Jun 27, 2026Market Opened
Jun 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Busan on June 27, 2026, currently cluster around daily maximums of 26–28°C, with the market split tightly between 27°C and 28°C as the most probable outcomes.** This narrow distribution reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction two days ahead, where small differences in boundary-layer conditions or timing of any coastal effects can shift the observed high by 1–2°C.
Busan’s coastal setting introduces key variables: the sea breeze typically peaks in the afternoon and can cap temperatures, while any onshore flow or marine layer clouds reduces insolation. Clearer skies under a building high-pressure ridge favor the upper end of the range (near 28°C), whereas increased low-level moisture or scattered showers—common as the East Asian monsoon approaches—would favor 27°C or lower by limiting daytime heating. Ensemble spreads from global and regional models (including KMA guidance) show modest disagreement on exact cloud cover and wind direction for the 27th, keeping probabilities closely matched.
Historical June climatology for Busan places average daily highs near 25–26°C, so current conditions sit slightly above normal amid early-season warming. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and any KMA updates that could refine the maximum before resolution, with the tight spread underscoring how sensitive the outcome remains to these final adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$65,790End Date
Jun 27, 2026Market Opened
Jun 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Forecast models for Busan on June 27, 2026, currently cluster around daily maximums of 26–28°C, with the market split tightly between 27°C and 28°C as the most probable outcomes.** This narrow distribution reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction two days ahead, where small differences in boundary-layer conditions or timing of any coastal effects can shift the observed high by 1–2°C. Busan’s coastal setting introduces key variables: the sea breeze typically peaks in the afternoon and can cap temperatures, while any onshore flow or marine layer clouds reduces insolation. Clearer skies under a building high-pressure ridge favor the upper end of the range (near 28°C), whereas increased low-level moisture or scattered showers—common as the East Asian monsoon approaches—would favor 27°C or lower by limiting daytime heating. Ensemble spreads from global and regional models (including KMA guidance) show modest disagreement on exact cloud cover and wind direction for the 27th, keeping probabilities closely matched. Historical June climatology for Busan places average daily highs near 25–26°C, so current conditions sit slightly above normal amid early-season warming. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and any KMA updates that could refine the maximum before resolution, with the tight spread underscoring how sensitive the outcome remains to these final adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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