Current numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the China Meteorological Administration, indicate a likely daily high of 30–32°C in Chengdu on May 23 under the influence of a subtropical high-pressure system and moist southwesterly flow across the Sichuan basin. The market’s heavy weighting toward 30°C reflects this model consensus and the narrow historical distribution around those values, with limited upside risk from extreme intensification absent major synoptic shifts. Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport will determine the exact recorded maximum, and any late-day convective activity or measurement adjustments could theoretically alter the outcome, though ensemble guidance shows low variance for this date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 23?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 23?
30°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$70,268 Vol.
$70,268 Vol.
May 23, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$70,268 Vol.
$70,268 Vol.
May 23, 2026
27°C or below
$4,861 Vol.
No
28°C
$8,028 Vol.
No
29°C
$7,390 Vol.
No
30°C
$10,146 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$11,040 Vol.
No
32°C
$10,912 Vol.
No
33°C
$6,625 Vol.
No
34°C
$4,896 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,258 Vol.
No
36°C
$2,475 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$1,636 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the China Meteorological Administration, indicate a likely daily high of 30–32°C in Chengdu on May 23 under the influence of a subtropical high-pressure system and moist southwesterly flow across the Sichuan basin. The market’s heavy weighting toward 30°C reflects this model consensus and the narrow historical distribution around those values, with limited upside risk from extreme intensification absent major synoptic shifts. Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport will determine the exact recorded maximum, and any late-day convective activity or measurement adjustments could theoretically alter the outcome, though ensemble guidance shows low variance for this date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 6:32 AM ET
Volume
$70,268End Date
May 23, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 6:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the China Meteorological Administration, indicate a likely daily high of 30–32°C in Chengdu on May 23 under the influence of a subtropical high-pressure system and moist southwesterly flow across the Sichuan basin. The market’s heavy weighting toward 30°C reflects this model consensus and the narrow historical distribution around those values, with limited upside risk from extreme intensification absent major synoptic shifts. Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport will determine the exact recorded maximum, and any late-day convective activity or measurement adjustments could theoretically alter the outcome, though ensemble guidance shows low variance for this date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$70,268End Date
May 23, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 6:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the China Meteorological Administration, indicate a likely daily high of 30–32°C in Chengdu on May 23 under the influence of a subtropical high-pressure system and moist southwesterly flow across the Sichuan basin. The market’s heavy weighting toward 30°C reflects this model consensus and the narrow historical distribution around those values, with limited upside risk from extreme intensification absent major synoptic shifts. Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport will determine the exact recorded maximum, and any late-day convective activity or measurement adjustments could theoretically alter the outcome, though ensemble guidance shows low variance for this date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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