Recent weather model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a highest temperature of 25–27°C in Chongqing on June 24, driven by typical early-summer monsoon conditions with scattered cloud cover, moderate humidity around 70–85%, and low precipitation probability that limits daytime heating. Chongqing’s basin topography and urban heat island effect create localized variability, while ensemble forecasts show modest spread from steering patterns and potential afternoon thunderstorms. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the central outcomes, with tails reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind. New model runs expected within 24 hours could shift sentiment ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on June 24?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on June 24?
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$71,800 Vol.
$71,800 Vol.
Jun 24, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$71,800 Vol.
$71,800 Vol.
Jun 24, 2026
24°C or below
$16,978 Vol.
No
25°C
$6,390 Vol.
No
26°C
$9,675 Vol.
No
27°C
$13,079 Vol.
No
28°C
$8,750 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$11,279 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,147 Vol.
No
31°C
$680 Vol.
No
32°C
$329 Vol.
No
33°C
$243 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$250 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a highest temperature of 25–27°C in Chongqing on June 24, driven by typical early-summer monsoon conditions with scattered cloud cover, moderate humidity around 70–85%, and low precipitation probability that limits daytime heating. Chongqing’s basin topography and urban heat island effect create localized variability, while ensemble forecasts show modest spread from steering patterns and potential afternoon thunderstorms. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the central outcomes, with tails reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind. New model runs expected within 24 hours could shift sentiment ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 22, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$71,800End Date
Jun 24, 2026Market Opened
Jun 22, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a highest temperature of 25–27°C in Chongqing on June 24, driven by typical early-summer monsoon conditions with scattered cloud cover, moderate humidity around 70–85%, and low precipitation probability that limits daytime heating. Chongqing’s basin topography and urban heat island effect create localized variability, while ensemble forecasts show modest spread from steering patterns and potential afternoon thunderstorms. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the central outcomes, with tails reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind. New model runs expected within 24 hours could shift sentiment ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$71,800End Date
Jun 24, 2026Market Opened
Jun 22, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent weather model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a highest temperature of 25–27°C in Chongqing on June 24, driven by typical early-summer monsoon conditions with scattered cloud cover, moderate humidity around 70–85%, and low precipitation probability that limits daytime heating. Chongqing’s basin topography and urban heat island effect create localized variability, while ensemble forecasts show modest spread from steering patterns and potential afternoon thunderstorms. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the central outcomes, with tails reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind. New model runs expected within 24 hours could shift sentiment ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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