**Current NWS forecasts point to a high near 98°F for Dallas on August 2 under mostly sunny skies and a light northerly breeze.** This aligns with the closely matched market leaders at 96–97°F (39.5%) and 98–99°F (32.5%), which together capture the bulk of trader probability. The primary drivers are a strong surface high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear conditions, combined with a shift from southerly Gulf moisture advection earlier in the week to northerly flow on Sunday. This pattern typically caps daytime heating by a few degrees compared with peak heat days (such as the 100–104°F readings expected the prior day). Model consensus from the National Weather Service favors this trajectory, though small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, or residual humidity can shift the maximum by 1–2°F. Historical late-summer climatology for Dallas shows daily highs averaging around 96–99°F in early August, providing context for why the market clusters tightly around these bins rather than extremes. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and guidance updates, with any new NWS or NOAA forecast revisions likely to influence the tight spread between the top two outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on August 2?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 2?
96-97°F 47%
98-99°F 33%
94-95°F 13%
100-101°F 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
13%
96-97°F
47%
98-99°F
33%
100-101°F
8%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 47%
98-99°F 33%
94-95°F 13%
100-101°F 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
89°F or below
$73 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$78 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$223 Vol.
3%
94-95°F
$221 Vol.
13%
96-97°F
$347 Vol.
47%
98-99°F
$108 Vol.
33%
100-101°F
$68 Vol.
8%
102-103°F
$111 Vol.
3%
104-105°F
$81 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$79 Vol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$99 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current NWS forecasts point to a high near 98°F for Dallas on August 2 under mostly sunny skies and a light northerly breeze.** This aligns with the closely matched market leaders at 96–97°F (39.5%) and 98–99°F (32.5%), which together capture the bulk of trader probability.
The primary drivers are a strong surface high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear conditions, combined with a shift from southerly Gulf moisture advection earlier in the week to northerly flow on Sunday. This pattern typically caps daytime heating by a few degrees compared with peak heat days (such as the 100–104°F readings expected the prior day). Model consensus from the National Weather Service favors this trajectory, though small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, or residual humidity can shift the maximum by 1–2°F.
Historical late-summer climatology for Dallas shows daily highs averaging around 96–99°F in early August, providing context for why the market clusters tightly around these bins rather than extremes. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and guidance updates, with any new NWS or NOAA forecast revisions likely to influence the tight spread between the top two outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$1,487End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current NWS forecasts point to a high near 98°F for Dallas on August 2 under mostly sunny skies and a light northerly breeze.** This aligns with the closely matched market leaders at 96–97°F (39.5%) and 98–99°F (32.5%), which together capture the bulk of trader probability.
The primary drivers are a strong surface high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear conditions, combined with a shift from southerly Gulf moisture advection earlier in the week to northerly flow on Sunday. This pattern typically caps daytime heating by a few degrees compared with peak heat days (such as the 100–104°F readings expected the prior day). Model consensus from the National Weather Service favors this trajectory, though small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, or residual humidity can shift the maximum by 1–2°F.
Historical late-summer climatology for Dallas shows daily highs averaging around 96–99°F in early August, providing context for why the market clusters tightly around these bins rather than extremes. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and guidance updates, with any new NWS or NOAA forecast revisions likely to influence the tight spread between the top two outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,487End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current NWS forecasts point to a high near 98°F for Dallas on August 2 under mostly sunny skies and a light northerly breeze.** This aligns with the closely matched market leaders at 96–97°F (39.5%) and 98–99°F (32.5%), which together capture the bulk of trader probability. The primary drivers are a strong surface high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear conditions, combined with a shift from southerly Gulf moisture advection earlier in the week to northerly flow on Sunday. This pattern typically caps daytime heating by a few degrees compared with peak heat days (such as the 100–104°F readings expected the prior day). Model consensus from the National Weather Service favors this trajectory, though small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, or residual humidity can shift the maximum by 1–2°F. Historical late-summer climatology for Dallas shows daily highs averaging around 96–99°F in early August, providing context for why the market clusters tightly around these bins rather than extremes. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and guidance updates, with any new NWS or NOAA forecast revisions likely to influence the tight spread between the top two outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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