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Highest temperature in Dallas on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Dallas on March 29?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

82-83°F 28%

80-81°F 23%

84-85°F 19%

78-79°F 17%

Polymarket

$10,106 Vol.

82-83°F 28%

80-81°F 23%

84-85°F 19%

78-79°F 17%

Polymarket

$10,106 Vol.

73°F or below

$780 Vol.

1%

74-75°F

$470 Vol.

2%

76-77°F

$605 Vol.

7%

78-79°F

$835 Vol.

17%

80-81°F

$800 Vol.

23%

82-83°F

$565 Vol.

28%

84-85°F

$503 Vol.

19%

86-87°F

$699 Vol.

3%

88-89°F

$1,261 Vol.

1%

90-91°F

$2,679 Vol.

1%

92°F or higher

$908 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest NOAA and ECMWF forecast ensembles point to Dallas highs of 80-85°F on March 29, fueling trader sentiment toward those bins with implied probabilities reflecting model spread and uncertainty in cloud cover timing. A persistent upper-level ridge over Texas promises above-normal warmth—historical March averages hover around 70°F—but diurnal mixing and potential afternoon cumulus clouds could cap peaks at 82-83°F, per GFS runs, while drier conditions favor 84-85°F in ECMWF guidance. Recent weak frontal passages brought minor cooling signals in the past 48 hours, tightening the race among mid-80s outcomes; new 12z model updates tomorrow could sharpen consensus ahead of resolution. Climatological analogs from similar ridge setups show 2-3°F variance, underscoring inherent forecast uncertainty.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,106
End Date
Mar 29, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest NOAA and ECMWF forecast ensembles point to Dallas highs of 80-85°F on March 29, fueling trader sentiment toward those bins with implied probabilities reflecting model spread and uncertainty in cloud cover timing. A persistent upper-level ridge over Texas promises above-normal warmth—historical March averages hover around 70°F—but diurnal mixing and potential afternoon cumulus clouds could cap peaks at 82-83°F, per GFS runs, while drier conditions favor 84-85°F in ECMWF guidance. Recent weak frontal passages brought minor cooling signals in the past 48 hours, tightening the race among mid-80s outcomes; new 12z model updates tomorrow could sharpen consensus ahead of resolution. Climatological analogs from similar ridge setups show 2-3°F variance, underscoring inherent forecast uncertainty.

Latest NOAA and ECMWF forecast ensembles point to Dallas highs of 80-85°F on March 29, fueling trader sentiment toward those bins with implied probabilities reflecting model spread and uncertainty in cloud cover timing. A persistent upper-level ridge over Texas promises above-normal warmth—historical March averages hover around 70°F—but diurnal mixing and potential afternoon cumulus clouds could cap peaks at 82-83°F, per GFS runs, while drier conditions favor 84-85°F in ECMWF guidance. Recent weak frontal passages brought minor cooling signals in the past 48 hours, tightening the race among mid-80s outcomes; new 12z model updates tomorrow could sharpen consensus ahead of resolution. Climatological analogs from similar ridge setups show 2-3°F variance, underscoring inherent forecast uncertainty.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Dallas on March 29?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "82-83°F" at 28%, followed by "80-81°F" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Dallas on March 29?" has generated $10.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Dallas on March 29?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Dallas on March 29?" is "82-83°F" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "80-81°F" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Dallas on March 29?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.