**The dominant 100% market-implied probability for an 80-81°F high in Denver on June 15, 2026, rests on the official National Weather Service climatological report confirming that exact maximum at the primary Denver station (typically Buckley Space Force Base or DIA).** This aligns with mid-June normals of 82-83°F, adjusted downward by localized steering patterns, light northeast winds around 5-9 mph, and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy or post-frontal conditions. Official observations from calibrated thermometers at standard 5-foot height provide the verifiable ground truth for resolution, with traders converging on this narrow bin once preliminary data and model runs locked in values within that range. Minor revisions to rounding or station selection remain the only realistic challenges, though NWS protocols make such shifts highly improbable after issuance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on June 15?
Highest temperature in Denver on June 15?
80-81°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$31,108 Vol.
$31,108 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$31,108 Vol.
$31,108 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
69°F or below
$5,057 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$1,202 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$2,699 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$1,858 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$2,211 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$3,877 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$5,572 Vol.
Yes
82-83°F
$2,343 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$2,557 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$2,157 Vol.
No
88°F or higher
$1,574 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The dominant 100% market-implied probability for an 80-81°F high in Denver on June 15, 2026, rests on the official National Weather Service climatological report confirming that exact maximum at the primary Denver station (typically Buckley Space Force Base or DIA).** This aligns with mid-June normals of 82-83°F, adjusted downward by localized steering patterns, light northeast winds around 5-9 mph, and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy or post-frontal conditions. Official observations from calibrated thermometers at standard 5-foot height provide the verifiable ground truth for resolution, with traders converging on this narrow bin once preliminary data and model runs locked in values within that range. Minor revisions to rounding or station selection remain the only realistic challenges, though NWS protocols make such shifts highly improbable after issuance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$31,108End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The dominant 100% market-implied probability for an 80-81°F high in Denver on June 15, 2026, rests on the official National Weather Service climatological report confirming that exact maximum at the primary Denver station (typically Buckley Space Force Base or DIA).** This aligns with mid-June normals of 82-83°F, adjusted downward by localized steering patterns, light northeast winds around 5-9 mph, and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy or post-frontal conditions. Official observations from calibrated thermometers at standard 5-foot height provide the verifiable ground truth for resolution, with traders converging on this narrow bin once preliminary data and model runs locked in values within that range. Minor revisions to rounding or station selection remain the only realistic challenges, though NWS protocols make such shifts highly improbable after issuance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,108End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**The dominant 100% market-implied probability for an 80-81°F high in Denver on June 15, 2026, rests on the official National Weather Service climatological report confirming that exact maximum at the primary Denver station (typically Buckley Space Force Base or DIA).** This aligns with mid-June normals of 82-83°F, adjusted downward by localized steering patterns, light northeast winds around 5-9 mph, and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy or post-frontal conditions. Official observations from calibrated thermometers at standard 5-foot height provide the verifiable ground truth for resolution, with traders converging on this narrow bin once preliminary data and model runs locked in values within that range. Minor revisions to rounding or station selection remain the only realistic challenges, though NWS protocols make such shifts highly improbable after issuance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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