Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-term forecasts for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 17, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 26–35°C as global models diverge from local guidance. The Guangzhou Observatory's latest 7-day outlook, issued April 14, projects a daytime high of 27°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low precipitation risk, consistent with the month's +3.4°C temperature anomaly above the April climatological average of 22.5°C mean. However, ECMWF and GFS ensembles suggest slightly warmer peaks near 31°C due to persistent subtropical high pressure and urban heat effects, while recent observations show highs of 29.6°C on April 10 and 13. New model runs and April 16 observations could sharpen the outlook before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
30°C 23%
26°C or below 19%
27°C 19%
34°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Apr 17, 2026
26°C or below
19%
27°C
19%
28°C
18%
29°C
19%
30°C
23%
31°C
14%
32°C
14%
33°C
14%
34°C
19%
35°C
19%
36°C or higher
11%
30°C 23%
26°C or below 19%
27°C 19%
34°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Apr 17, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Vol.
19%
27°C
$0 Vol.
19%
28°C
$0 Vol.
18%
29°C
$0 Vol.
19%
30°C
$0 Vol.
23%
31°C
$0 Vol.
14%
32°C
$0 Vol.
14%
33°C
$0 Vol.
14%
34°C
$0 Vol.
19%
35°C
$0 Vol.
19%
36°C or higher
$328 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-term forecasts for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 17, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 26–35°C as global models diverge from local guidance. The Guangzhou Observatory's latest 7-day outlook, issued April 14, projects a daytime high of 27°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low precipitation risk, consistent with the month's +3.4°C temperature anomaly above the April climatological average of 22.5°C mean. However, ECMWF and GFS ensembles suggest slightly warmer peaks near 31°C due to persistent subtropical high pressure and urban heat effects, while recent observations show highs of 29.6°C on April 10 and 13. New model runs and April 16 observations could sharpen the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$328End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-term forecasts for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 17, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 26–35°C as global models diverge from local guidance. The Guangzhou Observatory's latest 7-day outlook, issued April 14, projects a daytime high of 27°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low precipitation risk, consistent with the month's +3.4°C temperature anomaly above the April climatological average of 22.5°C mean. However, ECMWF and GFS ensembles suggest slightly warmer peaks near 31°C due to persistent subtropical high pressure and urban heat effects, while recent observations show highs of 29.6°C on April 10 and 13. New model runs and April 16 observations could sharpen the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$328End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-term forecasts for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 17, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 26–35°C as global models diverge from local guidance. The Guangzhou Observatory's latest 7-day outlook, issued April 14, projects a daytime high of 27°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low precipitation risk, consistent with the month's +3.4°C temperature anomaly above the April climatological average of 22.5°C mean. However, ECMWF and GFS ensembles suggest slightly warmer peaks near 31°C due to persistent subtropical high pressure and urban heat effects, while recent observations show highs of 29.6°C on April 10 and 13. New model runs and April 16 observations could sharpen the outlook before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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