Official forecasts and real-time observations from the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport station indicate a daytime peak reaching 37°C on June 2 under partly cloudy conditions with scattered thunderstorms. Typical early-summer South China Sea monsoon moisture sustains high humidity and limits intense solar heating, yet ensemble guidance from meteorological models shows consistent agreement on this threshold amid variable convective timing. This strong data consensus underpins the market-implied odds near certainty for 37°C, reflecting trader assessment of official measurements. Stronger or earlier storm activity could suppress the high slightly below this level, while clearer skies would support the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 2?
37°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$139,763 Vol.
$139,763 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$139,763 Vol.
$139,763 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: May 31, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official forecasts and real-time observations from the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport station indicate a daytime peak reaching 37°C on June 2 under partly cloudy conditions with scattered thunderstorms. Typical early-summer South China Sea monsoon moisture sustains high humidity and limits intense solar heating, yet ensemble guidance from meteorological models shows consistent agreement on this threshold amid variable convective timing. This strong data consensus underpins the market-implied odds near certainty for 37°C, reflecting trader assessment of official measurements. Stronger or earlier storm activity could suppress the high slightly below this level, while clearer skies would support the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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