Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate typical June highs of 28–32°C under the southwest monsoon, with persistent humidity above 80% and scattered showers limiting solar heating. Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C because variable cloud cover and timing of precipitation can suppress peak temperatures by 1–3°C on any given day, while brief clear intervals or reduced rainfall allow brief spikes toward 34–35°C. Historical June climatology shows a 30–32°C average maximum, but model spread in the 48-hour window introduces uncertainty around exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing, keeping lower (≤30°C) and extreme (≥36°C) outcomes less favored yet plausible if steering patterns shift.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 21?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 21?
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$225,370 Vol.
$225,370 Vol.
Jun 21, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$225,370 Vol.
$225,370 Vol.
Jun 21, 2026
26°C or below
$2,558 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,628 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,716 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,577 Vol.
No
30°C
$16,507 Vol.
No
31°C
$37,980 Vol.
No
32°C
$43,409 Vol.
No
33°C
$41,373 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$44,256 Vol.
No
35°C
$22,676 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$7,691 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate typical June highs of 28–32°C under the southwest monsoon, with persistent humidity above 80% and scattered showers limiting solar heating. Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C because variable cloud cover and timing of precipitation can suppress peak temperatures by 1–3°C on any given day, while brief clear intervals or reduced rainfall allow brief spikes toward 34–35°C. Historical June climatology shows a 30–32°C average maximum, but model spread in the 48-hour window introduces uncertainty around exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing, keeping lower (≤30°C) and extreme (≥36°C) outcomes less favored yet plausible if steering patterns shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$225,370End Date
Jun 21, 2026Market Opened
Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate typical June highs of 28–32°C under the southwest monsoon, with persistent humidity above 80% and scattered showers limiting solar heating. Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C because variable cloud cover and timing of precipitation can suppress peak temperatures by 1–3°C on any given day, while brief clear intervals or reduced rainfall allow brief spikes toward 34–35°C. Historical June climatology shows a 30–32°C average maximum, but model spread in the 48-hour window introduces uncertainty around exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing, keeping lower (≤30°C) and extreme (≥36°C) outcomes less favored yet plausible if steering patterns shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$225,370End Date
Jun 21, 2026Market Opened
Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate typical June highs of 28–32°C under the southwest monsoon, with persistent humidity above 80% and scattered showers limiting solar heating. Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C because variable cloud cover and timing of precipitation can suppress peak temperatures by 1–3°C on any given day, while brief clear intervals or reduced rainfall allow brief spikes toward 34–35°C. Historical June climatology shows a 30–32°C average maximum, but model spread in the 48-hour window introduces uncertainty around exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing, keeping lower (≤30°C) and extreme (≥36°C) outcomes less favored yet plausible if steering patterns shift.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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