Recent model consensus from regional forecasts points to a highest temperature in Panama City on September 25 most likely between 29–31°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Persistent wet-season moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone supports increased cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, which limit daytime solar heating and keep maxima near or slightly below the September climatological average of 30–31°C. Light to moderate winds and high humidity further moderate peak readings, while any breaks in cloudiness could allow brief spikes toward 32°C. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact balance between precipitation timing and insolation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 25?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 25?
31°C 26%
30°C 25%
29°C 14%
32°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
3%
28°C
9%
29°C
14%
30°C
25%
31°C
26%
32°C
13%
33°C or higher
8%
31°C 26%
30°C 25%
29°C 14%
32°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
23°C or below
$50 Vol.
2%
24°C
$10 Vol.
2%
25°C
$10 Vol.
2%
26°C
$10 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
9%
29°C
$0 Vol.
14%
30°C
$0 Vol.
25%
31°C
$0 Vol.
26%
32°C
$0 Vol.
13%
33°C or higher
$5 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from regional forecasts points to a highest temperature in Panama City on September 25 most likely between 29–31°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Persistent wet-season moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone supports increased cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, which limit daytime solar heating and keep maxima near or slightly below the September climatological average of 30–31°C. Light to moderate winds and high humidity further moderate peak readings, while any breaks in cloudiness could allow brief spikes toward 32°C. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact balance between precipitation timing and insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 23, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$85End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 23, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from regional forecasts points to a highest temperature in Panama City on September 25 most likely between 29–31°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Persistent wet-season moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone supports increased cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, which limit daytime solar heating and keep maxima near or slightly below the September climatological average of 30–31°C. Light to moderate winds and high humidity further moderate peak readings, while any breaks in cloudiness could allow brief spikes toward 32°C. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact balance between precipitation timing and insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$85End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 23, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from regional forecasts points to a highest temperature in Panama City on September 25 most likely between 29–31°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Persistent wet-season moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone supports increased cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, which limit daytime solar heating and keep maxima near or slightly below the September climatological average of 30–31°C. Light to moderate winds and high humidity further moderate peak readings, while any breaks in cloudiness could allow brief spikes toward 32°C. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact balance between precipitation timing and insolation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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