Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the German Weather Service (DWD), ECMWF, and GFS ensembles indicate Munich will experience mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions on September 23, supporting daytime maxima centered on 18–19 °C. Light northeasterly flow and high surface pressure are expected to limit cloud cover and mixing, keeping temperatures close to the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 18.6 °C. With resolution only two days away, model spread remains narrow, though minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any residual cloud could still allow a 17 °C or 20 °C outcome. Traders have priced this tight consensus into the 18 °C and 19 °C contracts, which together exceed 85 % implied probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on September 23?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 23?
18°C 54%
19°C 32%
16°C 16%
20°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
13°C or below
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
4%
16°C
16%
17°C
10%
18°C
54%
19°C
32%
20°C
14%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
2%
18°C 54%
19°C 32%
16°C 16%
20°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
13°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
14°C
$5 Vol.
4%
15°C
$5 Vol.
4%
16°C
$5 Vol.
16%
17°C
$5 Vol.
10%
18°C
$484 Vol.
54%
19°C
$17 Vol.
32%
20°C
$5 Vol.
14%
21°C
$5 Vol.
2%
22°C
$5 Vol.
2%
23°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the German Weather Service (DWD), ECMWF, and GFS ensembles indicate Munich will experience mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions on September 23, supporting daytime maxima centered on 18–19 °C. Light northeasterly flow and high surface pressure are expected to limit cloud cover and mixing, keeping temperatures close to the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 18.6 °C. With resolution only two days away, model spread remains narrow, though minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any residual cloud could still allow a 17 °C or 20 °C outcome. Traders have priced this tight consensus into the 18 °C and 19 °C contracts, which together exceed 85 % implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$546End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the German Weather Service (DWD), ECMWF, and GFS ensembles indicate Munich will experience mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions on September 23, supporting daytime maxima centered on 18–19 °C. Light northeasterly flow and high surface pressure are expected to limit cloud cover and mixing, keeping temperatures close to the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 18.6 °C. With resolution only two days away, model spread remains narrow, though minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any residual cloud could still allow a 17 °C or 20 °C outcome. Traders have priced this tight consensus into the 18 °C and 19 °C contracts, which together exceed 85 % implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$546End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the German Weather Service (DWD), ECMWF, and GFS ensembles indicate Munich will experience mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions on September 23, supporting daytime maxima centered on 18–19 °C. Light northeasterly flow and high surface pressure are expected to limit cloud cover and mixing, keeping temperatures close to the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 18.6 °C. With resolution only two days away, model spread remains narrow, though minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any residual cloud could still allow a 17 °C or 20 °C outcome. Traders have priced this tight consensus into the 18 °C and 19 °C contracts, which together exceed 85 % implied probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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