Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles project a July 2 high near 92°F in Houston under a subtropical ridge, with ample low-level moisture supporting scattered afternoon convection that could cap temperatures in the low 90s. Normal climatology for the date centers on 94°F, yet recent guidance shows modest suppression from increased cloud cover and sea-breeze effects, keeping the 90–93°F range favored by traders. Model spread remains narrow but hinges on exact timing and coverage of showers, producing the tight clustering between the two leading bins and modest probabilities for outcomes above 94°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on July 2?
Highest temperature in Houston on July 2?
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$70,165 Vol.
$70,165 Vol.
Jul 2, 2026
83°F or below
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$70,165 Vol.
$70,165 Vol.
Jul 2, 2026
83°F or below
$2,782 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$2,095 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$2,823 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$7,066 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$11,973 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$11,118 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$14,421 Vol.
Yes
96-97°F
$7,421 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$6,597 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$1,525 Vol.
No
102°F or higher
$2,344 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles project a July 2 high near 92°F in Houston under a subtropical ridge, with ample low-level moisture supporting scattered afternoon convection that could cap temperatures in the low 90s. Normal climatology for the date centers on 94°F, yet recent guidance shows modest suppression from increased cloud cover and sea-breeze effects, keeping the 90–93°F range favored by traders. Model spread remains narrow but hinges on exact timing and coverage of showers, producing the tight clustering between the two leading bins and modest probabilities for outcomes above 94°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$70,165End Date
Jul 2, 2026Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles project a July 2 high near 92°F in Houston under a subtropical ridge, with ample low-level moisture supporting scattered afternoon convection that could cap temperatures in the low 90s. Normal climatology for the date centers on 94°F, yet recent guidance shows modest suppression from increased cloud cover and sea-breeze effects, keeping the 90–93°F range favored by traders. Model spread remains narrow but hinges on exact timing and coverage of showers, producing the tight clustering between the two leading bins and modest probabilities for outcomes above 94°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$70,165End Date
Jul 2, 2026Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles project a July 2 high near 92°F in Houston under a subtropical ridge, with ample low-level moisture supporting scattered afternoon convection that could cap temperatures in the low 90s. Normal climatology for the date centers on 94°F, yet recent guidance shows modest suppression from increased cloud cover and sea-breeze effects, keeping the 90–93°F range favored by traders. Model spread remains narrow but hinges on exact timing and coverage of showers, producing the tight clustering between the two leading bins and modest probabilities for outcomes above 94°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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