Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including William P. Hobby Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 90–91°F in Houston on June 14, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. This falls within the climatological normal high of 92°F for mid-June and reflects typical early-summer atmospheric conditions—warm Gulf moisture, moderate southerly flow, and limited cloud cover—without the stronger ridging or downslope warming that would push readings to 100°F or above. Recent model guidance and surface analyses showed no significant heat advection or clear-sky intensification capable of exceeding 95°F, keeping extreme outcomes below 1% implied probability. Resolution hinges on the verified NWS climatological report, with any post-event data revisions representing the only realistic uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on June 14?
Highest temperature in Houston on June 14?
90-91°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$52,766 Vol.
$52,766 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
81°F or below
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
Yes
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100°F or higher
No
90-91°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$52,766 Vol.
$52,766 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
81°F or below
$4,343 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$1,514 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$3,225 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$9,724 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$12,738 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$7,403 Vol.
Yes
92-93°F
$5,470 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$3,269 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$3,525 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$770 Vol.
No
100°F or higher
$784 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including William P. Hobby Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 90–91°F in Houston on June 14, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. This falls within the climatological normal high of 92°F for mid-June and reflects typical early-summer atmospheric conditions—warm Gulf moisture, moderate southerly flow, and limited cloud cover—without the stronger ridging or downslope warming that would push readings to 100°F or above. Recent model guidance and surface analyses showed no significant heat advection or clear-sky intensification capable of exceeding 95°F, keeping extreme outcomes below 1% implied probability. Resolution hinges on the verified NWS climatological report, with any post-event data revisions representing the only realistic uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 12, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$52,766End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including William P. Hobby Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 90–91°F in Houston on June 14, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. This falls within the climatological normal high of 92°F for mid-June and reflects typical early-summer atmospheric conditions—warm Gulf moisture, moderate southerly flow, and limited cloud cover—without the stronger ridging or downslope warming that would push readings to 100°F or above. Recent model guidance and surface analyses showed no significant heat advection or clear-sky intensification capable of exceeding 95°F, keeping extreme outcomes below 1% implied probability. Resolution hinges on the verified NWS climatological report, with any post-event data revisions representing the only realistic uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$52,766End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including William P. Hobby Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 90–91°F in Houston on June 14, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. This falls within the climatological normal high of 92°F for mid-June and reflects typical early-summer atmospheric conditions—warm Gulf moisture, moderate southerly flow, and limited cloud cover—without the stronger ridging or downslope warming that would push readings to 100°F or above. Recent model guidance and surface analyses showed no significant heat advection or clear-sky intensification capable of exceeding 95°F, keeping extreme outcomes below 1% implied probability. Resolution hinges on the verified NWS climatological report, with any post-event data revisions representing the only realistic uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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