**Trader consensus strongly favors a daily maximum of 26°C or higher for Jinan on August 10, 2026, at 98.6% implied probability.** This positioning reflects consistent numerical weather prediction outputs from regional models projecting afternoon highs of 32–37°C (roughly 90–99°F) under typical late-summer conditions, well above the threshold. Jinan’s climatological baseline for early-to-mid August features average highs near 31–33°C, reinforced by ongoing heat across Shandong province and the absence of significant cold advection or widespread cloud cover in the latest guidance. Official monitoring from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles shows high agreement on this range, with only modest uncertainty tied to exact timing of any localized showers. The low single-digit percentages assigned to cooler outcomes underscore the minimal historical or modeled likelihood of sub-26°C maxima in this period. A rapid, unexpected frontal passage or model shift toward heavier precipitation could theoretically lower readings, but current data do not support such scenarios.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jinan on August 10?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 10?
26°C or higher 99.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 99.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
16°C or below
$255 Vol.
1%
17°C
$250 Vol.
1%
18°C
$255 Vol.
1%
19°C
$250 Vol.
1%
20°C
$301 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$51 Vol.
1%
22°C
$50 Vol.
1%
23°C
$45 Vol.
1%
24°C
$167 Vol.
1%
25°C
$127 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$600 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a daily maximum of 26°C or higher for Jinan on August 10, 2026, at 98.6% implied probability.** This positioning reflects consistent numerical weather prediction outputs from regional models projecting afternoon highs of 32–37°C (roughly 90–99°F) under typical late-summer conditions, well above the threshold. Jinan’s climatological baseline for early-to-mid August features average highs near 31–33°C, reinforced by ongoing heat across Shandong province and the absence of significant cold advection or widespread cloud cover in the latest guidance. Official monitoring from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles shows high agreement on this range, with only modest uncertainty tied to exact timing of any localized showers. The low single-digit percentages assigned to cooler outcomes underscore the minimal historical or modeled likelihood of sub-26°C maxima in this period. A rapid, unexpected frontal passage or model shift toward heavier precipitation could theoretically lower readings, but current data do not support such scenarios.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$2,351End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a daily maximum of 26°C or higher for Jinan on August 10, 2026, at 98.6% implied probability.** This positioning reflects consistent numerical weather prediction outputs from regional models projecting afternoon highs of 32–37°C (roughly 90–99°F) under typical late-summer conditions, well above the threshold. Jinan’s climatological baseline for early-to-mid August features average highs near 31–33°C, reinforced by ongoing heat across Shandong province and the absence of significant cold advection or widespread cloud cover in the latest guidance. Official monitoring from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles shows high agreement on this range, with only modest uncertainty tied to exact timing of any localized showers. The low single-digit percentages assigned to cooler outcomes underscore the minimal historical or modeled likelihood of sub-26°C maxima in this period. A rapid, unexpected frontal passage or model shift toward heavier precipitation could theoretically lower readings, but current data do not support such scenarios.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,351End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a daily maximum of 26°C or higher for Jinan on August 10, 2026, at 98.6% implied probability.** This positioning reflects consistent numerical weather prediction outputs from regional models projecting afternoon highs of 32–37°C (roughly 90–99°F) under typical late-summer conditions, well above the threshold. Jinan’s climatological baseline for early-to-mid August features average highs near 31–33°C, reinforced by ongoing heat across Shandong province and the absence of significant cold advection or widespread cloud cover in the latest guidance. Official monitoring from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles shows high agreement on this range, with only modest uncertainty tied to exact timing of any localized showers. The low single-digit percentages assigned to cooler outcomes underscore the minimal historical or modeled likelihood of sub-26°C maxima in this period. A rapid, unexpected frontal passage or model shift toward heavier precipitation could theoretically lower readings, but current data do not support such scenarios.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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