Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a peak daily high near 33°C for Chongqing on August 9, driven by the region's subtropical monsoon climate, persistent summer heat, and potential for increased cloud cover or scattered precipitation that moderates afternoon temperatures. Historical August averages hover around 34–35°C, with recent observations showing highs of 34–35°C amid variable humidity above 70%. Trader consensus reflected in the 39% implied probability for 33°C incorporates uncertainty from model spread and short-range forecast revisions expected from agencies monitoring regional steering patterns. Upcoming model runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours represent key data points that could shift probabilities toward adjacent outcomes like 32°C or 34°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 9?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 9?
33°C 39%
32°C 25%
34°C 22%
31°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
9%
32°C
25%
33°C
39%
34°C
22%
35°C
7%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 39%
32°C 25%
34°C 22%
31°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
$102 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$33 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$32 Vol.
2%
30°C
$94 Vol.
4%
31°C
$72 Vol.
9%
32°C
$37 Vol.
25%
33°C
$2,204 Vol.
39%
34°C
$126 Vol.
22%
35°C
$69 Vol.
7%
36°C
$122 Vol.
3%
37°C or higher
$38 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a peak daily high near 33°C for Chongqing on August 9, driven by the region's subtropical monsoon climate, persistent summer heat, and potential for increased cloud cover or scattered precipitation that moderates afternoon temperatures. Historical August averages hover around 34–35°C, with recent observations showing highs of 34–35°C amid variable humidity above 70%. Trader consensus reflected in the 39% implied probability for 33°C incorporates uncertainty from model spread and short-range forecast revisions expected from agencies monitoring regional steering patterns. Upcoming model runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours represent key data points that could shift probabilities toward adjacent outcomes like 32°C or 34°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$2,930End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a peak daily high near 33°C for Chongqing on August 9, driven by the region's subtropical monsoon climate, persistent summer heat, and potential for increased cloud cover or scattered precipitation that moderates afternoon temperatures. Historical August averages hover around 34–35°C, with recent observations showing highs of 34–35°C amid variable humidity above 70%. Trader consensus reflected in the 39% implied probability for 33°C incorporates uncertainty from model spread and short-range forecast revisions expected from agencies monitoring regional steering patterns. Upcoming model runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours represent key data points that could shift probabilities toward adjacent outcomes like 32°C or 34°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,930End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a peak daily high near 33°C for Chongqing on August 9, driven by the region's subtropical monsoon climate, persistent summer heat, and potential for increased cloud cover or scattered precipitation that moderates afternoon temperatures. Historical August averages hover around 34–35°C, with recent observations showing highs of 34–35°C amid variable humidity above 70%. Trader consensus reflected in the 39% implied probability for 33°C incorporates uncertainty from model spread and short-range forecast revisions expected from agencies monitoring regional steering patterns. Upcoming model runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours represent key data points that could shift probabilities toward adjacent outcomes like 32°C or 34°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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