Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models project a high of 28–32°C for Jinan on September 24, driven by persistent warm southerly flow and limited cloud cover that will keep daytime heating strong despite increasing humidity. This aligns with late-September climatology, where average highs reach the mid-20s°C, but current conditions reflect a warmer-than-normal ridge. Trader consensus at 94.5% for 26°C or higher reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term numerical weather prediction just 24 hours ahead. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold front or significant model bias in boundary-layer temperatures, though official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show little sign of such shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jinan on September 24?
26°C or higher 94%
24°C 5%
22°C 4%
23°C 4%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
94%
26°C or higher 94%
24°C 5%
22°C 4%
23°C 4%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models project a high of 28–32°C for Jinan on September 24, driven by persistent warm southerly flow and limited cloud cover that will keep daytime heating strong despite increasing humidity. This aligns with late-September climatology, where average highs reach the mid-20s°C, but current conditions reflect a warmer-than-normal ridge. Trader consensus at 94.5% for 26°C or higher reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term numerical weather prediction just 24 hours ahead. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold front or significant model bias in boundary-layer temperatures, though official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show little sign of such shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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