Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts for June 8–12 project maximum temperatures of 40–43°C across Karachi amid persistent heatwave conditions driven by high-pressure systems and above-normal seasonal baselines. Model consensus and historical June climatology, with typical daytime peaks near 36–38°C but elevated this year by several degrees, underpin the market's near-certain positioning at 40°C. Recent observational trends, including current afternoon readings climbing toward the upper 30s Celsius with high humidity amplifying feels-like values, reinforce trader alignment around this threshold. Only substantial late-day cooling from unexpected cloud cover, wind shifts, or measurement revisions at official stations could realistically shift the recorded high outside the 40°C bin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on June 11?
40°C 100.0%
34°C or below <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$89,772 Vol.
$89,772 Vol.
34°C or below
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
Yes
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C or higher
No
40°C 100.0%
34°C or below <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$89,772 Vol.
$89,772 Vol.
34°C or below
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
Yes
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 1:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts for June 8–12 project maximum temperatures of 40–43°C across Karachi amid persistent heatwave conditions driven by high-pressure systems and above-normal seasonal baselines. Model consensus and historical June climatology, with typical daytime peaks near 36–38°C but elevated this year by several degrees, underpin the market's near-certain positioning at 40°C. Recent observational trends, including current afternoon readings climbing toward the upper 30s Celsius with high humidity amplifying feels-like values, reinforce trader alignment around this threshold. Only substantial late-day cooling from unexpected cloud cover, wind shifts, or measurement revisions at official stations could realistically shift the recorded high outside the 40°C bin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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