Recent model consensus points to a daily maximum tightly contested between 34°C and 35°C at Karachi’s Masroor station, reflecting modest daytime heating under increasing Arabian Sea moisture and possible patchy cloud cover on June 18. Climatological averages for mid-June hover near 34°C, yet pre-monsoon heat can spike higher when clear skies and light winds dominate; conversely, even thin cloud layers or an early sea breeze suppress the peak by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and enhanced evaporative cooling. Current forecasts show humidity rising above 70% with low precipitation chances, limiting extreme outliers while leaving the precise threshold dependent on afternoon convective timing. Traders weigh these variables against historical June extremes above 38°C when dry conditions persist.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on June 18?
Highest temperature in Karachi on June 18?
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$19,515 Vol.
$19,515 Vol.
Jun 18, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$19,515 Vol.
$19,515 Vol.
Jun 18, 2026
29°C or below
$807 Vol.
No
30°C
$432 Vol.
No
31°C
$796 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,389 Vol.
No
33°C
$3,420 Vol.
No
34°C
$4,214 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$3,287 Vol.
No
36°C
$1,861 Vol.
No
37°C
$2,064 Vol.
No
38°C
$964 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$281 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to a daily maximum tightly contested between 34°C and 35°C at Karachi’s Masroor station, reflecting modest daytime heating under increasing Arabian Sea moisture and possible patchy cloud cover on June 18. Climatological averages for mid-June hover near 34°C, yet pre-monsoon heat can spike higher when clear skies and light winds dominate; conversely, even thin cloud layers or an early sea breeze suppress the peak by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and enhanced evaporative cooling. Current forecasts show humidity rising above 70% with low precipitation chances, limiting extreme outliers while leaving the precise threshold dependent on afternoon convective timing. Traders weigh these variables against historical June extremes above 38°C when dry conditions persist.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
Volume
$19,515End Date
Jun 18, 2026Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to a daily maximum tightly contested between 34°C and 35°C at Karachi’s Masroor station, reflecting modest daytime heating under increasing Arabian Sea moisture and possible patchy cloud cover on June 18. Climatological averages for mid-June hover near 34°C, yet pre-monsoon heat can spike higher when clear skies and light winds dominate; conversely, even thin cloud layers or an early sea breeze suppress the peak by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and enhanced evaporative cooling. Current forecasts show humidity rising above 70% with low precipitation chances, limiting extreme outliers while leaving the precise threshold dependent on afternoon convective timing. Traders weigh these variables against historical June extremes above 38°C when dry conditions persist.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,515End Date
Jun 18, 2026Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent model consensus points to a daily maximum tightly contested between 34°C and 35°C at Karachi’s Masroor station, reflecting modest daytime heating under increasing Arabian Sea moisture and possible patchy cloud cover on June 18. Climatological averages for mid-June hover near 34°C, yet pre-monsoon heat can spike higher when clear skies and light winds dominate; conversely, even thin cloud layers or an early sea breeze suppress the peak by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and enhanced evaporative cooling. Current forecasts show humidity rising above 70% with low precipitation chances, limiting extreme outliers while leaving the precise threshold dependent on afternoon convective timing. Traders weigh these variables against historical June extremes above 38°C when dry conditions persist.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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