**Trader consensus centers on 34°C as the most probable peak for Karachi on June 21, reflecting official forecast models showing typical early-summer coastal conditions.** AccuWeather and Weatherspark data place expected daily highs near 33–35°C, consistent with Karachi’s June climatology of roughly 34°C average maxima. The city’s Arabian Sea location drives persistent sea breezes that limit extreme heating despite high humidity, while pre-monsoon steering patterns and recent model runs show no strong heat-wave setup for the 21st. Probability mass clusters at 34–35°C because these values align with both historical baselines and current guidance; outcomes above 36°C or below 33°C receive lower weight absent signals of anomalous warming or enhanced marine cooling. Updated NHC/PMD guidance and the next model cycle remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on June 21?
Highest temperature in Karachi on June 21?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$27,207 Vol.
$27,207 Vol.
Jun 21, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$27,207 Vol.
$27,207 Vol.
Jun 21, 2026
29°C or below
$385 Vol.
No
30°C
$355 Vol.
No
31°C
$752 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,307 Vol.
No
33°C
$7,082 Vol.
No
34°C
$8,593 Vol.
No
35°C
$3,900 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$2,395 Vol.
No
37°C
$879 Vol.
No
38°C
$881 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$676 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 34°C as the most probable peak for Karachi on June 21, reflecting official forecast models showing typical early-summer coastal conditions.**
AccuWeather and Weatherspark data place expected daily highs near 33–35°C, consistent with Karachi’s June climatology of roughly 34°C average maxima. The city’s Arabian Sea location drives persistent sea breezes that limit extreme heating despite high humidity, while pre-monsoon steering patterns and recent model runs show no strong heat-wave setup for the 21st. Probability mass clusters at 34–35°C because these values align with both historical baselines and current guidance; outcomes above 36°C or below 33°C receive lower weight absent signals of anomalous warming or enhanced marine cooling. Updated NHC/PMD guidance and the next model cycle remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 19, 2026, 1:06 AM ET
Volume
$27,207End Date
Jun 21, 2026Market Opened
Jun 19, 2026, 1:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 34°C as the most probable peak for Karachi on June 21, reflecting official forecast models showing typical early-summer coastal conditions.**
AccuWeather and Weatherspark data place expected daily highs near 33–35°C, consistent with Karachi’s June climatology of roughly 34°C average maxima. The city’s Arabian Sea location drives persistent sea breezes that limit extreme heating despite high humidity, while pre-monsoon steering patterns and recent model runs show no strong heat-wave setup for the 21st. Probability mass clusters at 34–35°C because these values align with both historical baselines and current guidance; outcomes above 36°C or below 33°C receive lower weight absent signals of anomalous warming or enhanced marine cooling. Updated NHC/PMD guidance and the next model cycle remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,207End Date
Jun 21, 2026Market Opened
Jun 19, 2026, 1:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Trader consensus centers on 34°C as the most probable peak for Karachi on June 21, reflecting official forecast models showing typical early-summer coastal conditions.** AccuWeather and Weatherspark data place expected daily highs near 33–35°C, consistent with Karachi’s June climatology of roughly 34°C average maxima. The city’s Arabian Sea location drives persistent sea breezes that limit extreme heating despite high humidity, while pre-monsoon steering patterns and recent model runs show no strong heat-wave setup for the 21st. Probability mass clusters at 34–35°C because these values align with both historical baselines and current guidance; outcomes above 36°C or below 33°C receive lower weight absent signals of anomalous warming or enhanced marine cooling. Updated NHC/PMD guidance and the next model cycle remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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