Pakistan Meteorological Department observations at Karachi's Masroor Airbase Station confirm the highest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached exactly 37°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome. Following Monday's extreme 44.1°C heatwave peak amid suppressed sea breezes, strengthened southerly winds and rising humidity on Tuesday moderated daytime highs, aligning precisely with PMD's pre-dawn forecast of 37–39°C and international model consensus from sources like AccuWeather. This reflects typical May climatology for Karachi, where average highs hover around 35–36°C, with current atmospheric conditions—clear skies early transitioning to hazy afternoons—limiting further intensification. Realistic challenges include a delayed heat burst pushing above 38°C or post-day data revisions, though official hourly METAR reports make this unlikely as the resolution window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on May 5?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 5?
37°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$30,497 Vol.
$30,497 Vol.
May 5, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$30,497 Vol.
$30,497 Vol.
May 5, 2026
28°C or below
$1,341 Vol.
No
29°C
$365 Vol.
No
30°C
$466 Vol.
No
31°C
$611 Vol.
No
32°C
$966 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,663 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,370 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,257 Vol.
No
36°C
$4,001 Vol.
No
37°C
$10,590 Vol.
Yes
38°C or higher
$5,867 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department observations at Karachi's Masroor Airbase Station confirm the highest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached exactly 37°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome. Following Monday's extreme 44.1°C heatwave peak amid suppressed sea breezes, strengthened southerly winds and rising humidity on Tuesday moderated daytime highs, aligning precisely with PMD's pre-dawn forecast of 37–39°C and international model consensus from sources like AccuWeather. This reflects typical May climatology for Karachi, where average highs hover around 35–36°C, with current atmospheric conditions—clear skies early transitioning to hazy afternoons—limiting further intensification. Realistic challenges include a delayed heat burst pushing above 38°C or post-day data revisions, though official hourly METAR reports make this unlikely as the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 3, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Volume
$30,497End Date
May 5, 2026Market Opened
May 3, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department observations at Karachi's Masroor Airbase Station confirm the highest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached exactly 37°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome. Following Monday's extreme 44.1°C heatwave peak amid suppressed sea breezes, strengthened southerly winds and rising humidity on Tuesday moderated daytime highs, aligning precisely with PMD's pre-dawn forecast of 37–39°C and international model consensus from sources like AccuWeather. This reflects typical May climatology for Karachi, where average highs hover around 35–36°C, with current atmospheric conditions—clear skies early transitioning to hazy afternoons—limiting further intensification. Realistic challenges include a delayed heat burst pushing above 38°C or post-day data revisions, though official hourly METAR reports make this unlikely as the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$30,497End Date
May 5, 2026Market Opened
May 3, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Pakistan Meteorological Department observations at Karachi's Masroor Airbase Station confirm the highest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached exactly 37°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome. Following Monday's extreme 44.1°C heatwave peak amid suppressed sea breezes, strengthened southerly winds and rising humidity on Tuesday moderated daytime highs, aligning precisely with PMD's pre-dawn forecast of 37–39°C and international model consensus from sources like AccuWeather. This reflects typical May climatology for Karachi, where average highs hover around 35–36°C, with current atmospheric conditions—clear skies early transitioning to hazy afternoons—limiting further intensification. Realistic challenges include a delayed heat burst pushing above 38°C or post-day data revisions, though official hourly METAR reports make this unlikely as the resolution window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions