Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 32–34°C for Lagos' highest temperature on April 19, driven by NiMet observations of recent peaks at 36°C on April 13 amid lingering dry-season heat, tempered by the transition to rainy season with rising humidity and isolated afternoon thunderstorms. Forecast models cluster near the April climatological average of 32°C, as increasing convective instability and sea breeze incursions from the Gulf of Guinea cap daytime highs through partial cloud cover. Key differentiators include the extent of morning sunshine versus convective clouding and urban heat island effects in Lagos; ENSO-neutral conditions favor typical warmth without extremes. NiMet's daily bulletin on April 18 will provide updated guidance ahead of resolution based on official airport measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lagos on April 19?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 19?
34°C 29%
33°C 22%
32°C 19%
35°C 16%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
13%
32°C
19%
33°C
22%
34°C
29%
35°C
16%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
3%
34°C 29%
33°C 22%
32°C 19%
35°C 16%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
13%
32°C
19%
33°C
22%
34°C
29%
35°C
16%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 17, 2026, 12:50 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 32–34°C for Lagos' highest temperature on April 19, driven by NiMet observations of recent peaks at 36°C on April 13 amid lingering dry-season heat, tempered by the transition to rainy season with rising humidity and isolated afternoon thunderstorms. Forecast models cluster near the April climatological average of 32°C, as increasing convective instability and sea breeze incursions from the Gulf of Guinea cap daytime highs through partial cloud cover. Key differentiators include the extent of morning sunshine versus convective clouding and urban heat island effects in Lagos; ENSO-neutral conditions favor typical warmth without extremes. NiMet's daily bulletin on April 18 will provide updated guidance ahead of resolution based on official airport measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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