**Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos confirm the highest temperature reached 32°C on April 19, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome per market-implied odds.** METAR reports document peak readings of 32°C around midday under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds, aligning with NiMet's pre-event forecasts of 32–36°C highs amid transitioning tropical conditions—high humidity (70–80%) and light cloud cover capped solar heating. April climatology supports this, with historical averages near 32.1°C before rainy season onset. Realistic challenges include late-released hourly data revealing an unlogged spike (e.g., 33°C per some disputed METAR interpretations) or Wunderground history adjustments, though current airport records show no such exceedance; final resolution awaits verified station data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lagos on April 19?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 19?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$82,092 Vol.
$82,092 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$82,092 Vol.
$82,092 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
27°C or below
$29,622 Vol.
No
28°C
$6,052 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,157 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,409 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,855 Vol.
No
32°C
$10,513 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$6,748 Vol.
No
34°C
$5,645 Vol.
No
35°C
$4,498 Vol.
No
36°C
$3,604 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$4,988 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos confirm the highest temperature reached 32°C on April 19, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome per market-implied odds.** METAR reports document peak readings of 32°C around midday under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds, aligning with NiMet's pre-event forecasts of 32–36°C highs amid transitioning tropical conditions—high humidity (70–80%) and light cloud cover capped solar heating. April climatology supports this, with historical averages near 32.1°C before rainy season onset. Realistic challenges include late-released hourly data revealing an unlogged spike (e.g., 33°C per some disputed METAR interpretations) or Wunderground history adjustments, though current airport records show no such exceedance; final resolution awaits verified station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 17, 2026, 12:50 AM ET
Volume
$82,092End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 12:50 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos confirm the highest temperature reached 32°C on April 19, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome per market-implied odds.** METAR reports document peak readings of 32°C around midday under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds, aligning with NiMet's pre-event forecasts of 32–36°C highs amid transitioning tropical conditions—high humidity (70–80%) and light cloud cover capped solar heating. April climatology supports this, with historical averages near 32.1°C before rainy season onset. Realistic challenges include late-released hourly data revealing an unlogged spike (e.g., 33°C per some disputed METAR interpretations) or Wunderground history adjustments, though current airport records show no such exceedance; final resolution awaits verified station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$82,092End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 12:50 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos confirm the highest temperature reached 32°C on April 19, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome per market-implied odds.** METAR reports document peak readings of 32°C around midday under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds, aligning with NiMet's pre-event forecasts of 32–36°C highs amid transitioning tropical conditions—high humidity (70–80%) and light cloud cover capped solar heating. April climatology supports this, with historical averages near 32.1°C before rainy season onset. Realistic challenges include late-released hourly data revealing an unlogged spike (e.g., 33°C per some disputed METAR interpretations) or Wunderground history adjustments, though current airport records show no such exceedance; final resolution awaits verified station data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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