Official Met Office observations confirm London's highest temperature on May 2 peaked at 23°C, recorded at key stations including Heathrow Airport amid stable high-pressure systems and moderate southerly winds that capped warming potential. This aligns with pre-event forecast consensus from UKV and ECMWF models predicting maxima near 23°C under mild spring conditions, driving traders' 100% implied probability on that outcome as real-money bets reflect observed data certainty. While provisional reports are firm, rare scenarios like post-verification adjustments for sensor anomalies or overlooked higher readings from qualifying urban sites could challenge it, though no such discrepancies have surfaced. Final daily bulletin expected imminently.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on May 2?
Highest temperature in London on May 2?
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$226,869 Vol.
$226,869 Vol.
May 2, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$226,869 Vol.
$226,869 Vol.
May 2, 2026
15°C or below
$8,509 Vol.
No
16°C
$7,630 Vol.
No
17°C
$9,469 Vol.
No
18°C
$12,034 Vol.
No
19°C
$12,957 Vol.
No
20°C
$20,497 Vol.
No
21°C
$20,491 Vol.
No
22°C
$42,646 Vol.
No
23°C
$30,040 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$38,540 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$24,055 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Met Office observations confirm London's highest temperature on May 2 peaked at 23°C, recorded at key stations including Heathrow Airport amid stable high-pressure systems and moderate southerly winds that capped warming potential. This aligns with pre-event forecast consensus from UKV and ECMWF models predicting maxima near 23°C under mild spring conditions, driving traders' 100% implied probability on that outcome as real-money bets reflect observed data certainty. While provisional reports are firm, rare scenarios like post-verification adjustments for sensor anomalies or overlooked higher readings from qualifying urban sites could challenge it, though no such discrepancies have surfaced. Final daily bulletin expected imminently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$226,869End Date
May 2, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Met Office observations confirm London's highest temperature on May 2 peaked at 23°C, recorded at key stations including Heathrow Airport amid stable high-pressure systems and moderate southerly winds that capped warming potential. This aligns with pre-event forecast consensus from UKV and ECMWF models predicting maxima near 23°C under mild spring conditions, driving traders' 100% implied probability on that outcome as real-money bets reflect observed data certainty. While provisional reports are firm, rare scenarios like post-verification adjustments for sensor anomalies or overlooked higher readings from qualifying urban sites could challenge it, though no such discrepancies have surfaced. Final daily bulletin expected imminently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$226,869End Date
May 2, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official Met Office observations confirm London's highest temperature on May 2 peaked at 23°C, recorded at key stations including Heathrow Airport amid stable high-pressure systems and moderate southerly winds that capped warming potential. This aligns with pre-event forecast consensus from UKV and ECMWF models predicting maxima near 23°C under mild spring conditions, driving traders' 100% implied probability on that outcome as real-money bets reflect observed data certainty. While provisional reports are firm, rare scenarios like post-verification adjustments for sensor anomalies or overlooked higher readings from qualifying urban sites could challenge it, though no such discrepancies have surfaced. Final daily bulletin expected imminently.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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