Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Los Angeles recording its highest temperature on March 27 between 72-77°F, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast projecting a high near 76°F under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show tight clustering in this range, with mean outputs of 75°F, though minor divergences arise from coastal marine layer intrusion potentially capping peaks at 72-73°F or allowing urban heat to push toward 76-77°F. Above-average warmth stems from weak Santa Ana-like offshore flow, contrasting historical March norms of 68-70°F, while low odds for extremes reflect negligible wind shear or adiabatic warming signals. Upcoming 18Z model runs could refine these market-implied odds further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on March 27?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 27?
74-75°F 26%
72-73°F 17%
76-77°F 15%
78-79°F 12%
71°F or below
10%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
4%
90°F or higher
7%
74-75°F 26%
72-73°F 17%
76-77°F 15%
78-79°F 12%
71°F or below
10%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
4%
90°F or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Los Angeles recording its highest temperature on March 27 between 72-77°F, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast projecting a high near 76°F under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show tight clustering in this range, with mean outputs of 75°F, though minor divergences arise from coastal marine layer intrusion potentially capping peaks at 72-73°F or allowing urban heat to push toward 76-77°F. Above-average warmth stems from weak Santa Ana-like offshore flow, contrasting historical March norms of 68-70°F, while low odds for extremes reflect negligible wind shear or adiabatic warming signals. Upcoming 18Z model runs could refine these market-implied odds further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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