Trader sentiment on Los Angeles' highest temperature on March 26 clusters tightly around 70-75°F, driven by NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging on a mean high of 72°F at LAX, tempered by persistent onshore flow and coastal marine layer suppressing extremes. The slight edge for 72-73°F (23.5%) over 70-71°F (23.0%) stems from recent 12z model runs showing a weakening low-pressure trough offshore, allowing minor ridging aloft for 1-2°F warmer peaks midday. Historical March averages hover at 72°F, but interannual variability from neutral ENSO conditions adds uncertainty; prolonged stratus could cap at 70-71°F, while brief Santa Ana gusts risk nudging toward 74-75°F. Key watch: evening NWS updates for final marine inversion strength.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on March 26?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 26?
72-73°F 23%
70-71°F 17%
74-75°F 16%
67°F or below 6.5%
$15,521 Vol.
$15,521 Vol.
67°F or below
6%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
21%
72-73°F
23%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
3%
86°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 23%
70-71°F 17%
74-75°F 16%
67°F or below 6.5%
$15,521 Vol.
$15,521 Vol.
67°F or below
6%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
21%
72-73°F
23%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
3%
86°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 6:23 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Los Angeles' highest temperature on March 26 clusters tightly around 70-75°F, driven by NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging on a mean high of 72°F at LAX, tempered by persistent onshore flow and coastal marine layer suppressing extremes. The slight edge for 72-73°F (23.5%) over 70-71°F (23.0%) stems from recent 12z model runs showing a weakening low-pressure trough offshore, allowing minor ridging aloft for 1-2°F warmer peaks midday. Historical March averages hover at 72°F, but interannual variability from neutral ENSO conditions adds uncertainty; prolonged stratus could cap at 70-71°F, while brief Santa Ana gusts risk nudging toward 74-75°F. Key watch: evening NWS updates for final marine inversion strength.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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