The India Meteorological Department’s latest forecast for Lucknow Airport projects a maximum temperature of 41°C on April 18 under persistent clear skies, anchoring trader sentiment with 38.5% implied probability for 41°C and a near-tie at 36.0% for 42°C, reflecting model uncertainty in peak heating. Sub-block forecasts from IMD indicate 41.7°C across Lucknow areas, while nearby districts like Rae Bareli and Sitapur anticipate 42–43°C amid an intensifying regional heatwave driven by dry northerly winds, low afternoon relative humidity around 30%, and absent cloud cover that maximizes solar insolation and suppresses evaporative cooling. Recent observations show yesterday’s high at 39.3°C (+1.1°C above normal), with dry conditions persisting; differentiation hinges on urban heat island amplification and exact station readings, as daily IMD updates through April 17 could refine guidance ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 18?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 18?
41°C 39%
42°C 36%
40°C 11%
43°C 6%
39°C or below
3%
40°C
11%
41°C
39%
42°C
36%
43°C
6%
44°C
2%
45°C
1%
46°C
1%
47°C
1%
48°C
1%
49°C or higher
1%
41°C 39%
42°C 36%
40°C 11%
43°C 6%
39°C or below
3%
40°C
11%
41°C
39%
42°C
36%
43°C
6%
44°C
2%
45°C
1%
46°C
1%
47°C
1%
48°C
1%
49°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The India Meteorological Department’s latest forecast for Lucknow Airport projects a maximum temperature of 41°C on April 18 under persistent clear skies, anchoring trader sentiment with 38.5% implied probability for 41°C and a near-tie at 36.0% for 42°C, reflecting model uncertainty in peak heating. Sub-block forecasts from IMD indicate 41.7°C across Lucknow areas, while nearby districts like Rae Bareli and Sitapur anticipate 42–43°C amid an intensifying regional heatwave driven by dry northerly winds, low afternoon relative humidity around 30%, and absent cloud cover that maximizes solar insolation and suppresses evaporative cooling. Recent observations show yesterday’s high at 39.3°C (+1.1°C above normal), with dry conditions persisting; differentiation hinges on urban heat island amplification and exact station readings, as daily IMD updates through April 17 could refine guidance ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions