Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate persistent heatwave conditions across Uttar Pradesh, with maximum temperatures likely reaching 40–42°C on June 24 amid clear skies, light winds, and above-normal surface heating. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 40°C and 41°C. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in afternoon convection timing, potential for localized dust or haze reducing insolation, and ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing; a modest increase in low-level moisture or brief cloud cover could cap the peak near 39°C, while stronger subsidence would favor 42°C or higher. Traders are weighting official IMD guidance and recent station observations showing consistent 3–5°C anomalies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 24?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 24?
39°C 100.0%
36°C or below <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$64,453 Vol.
$64,453 Vol.
Jun 24, 2026
36°C or below
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
Yes
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C or higher
No
39°C 100.0%
36°C or below <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$64,453 Vol.
$64,453 Vol.
Jun 24, 2026
36°C or below
$5,632 Vol.
No
37°C
$4,064 Vol.
No
38°C
$9,891 Vol.
No
39°C
$12,367 Vol.
Yes
40°C
$11,375 Vol.
No
41°C
$13,024 Vol.
No
42°C
$4,698 Vol.
No
43°C
$2,149 Vol.
No
44°C
$267 Vol.
No
45°C
$626 Vol.
No
46°C or higher
$359 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate persistent heatwave conditions across Uttar Pradesh, with maximum temperatures likely reaching 40–42°C on June 24 amid clear skies, light winds, and above-normal surface heating. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 40°C and 41°C. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in afternoon convection timing, potential for localized dust or haze reducing insolation, and ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing; a modest increase in low-level moisture or brief cloud cover could cap the peak near 39°C, while stronger subsidence would favor 42°C or higher. Traders are weighting official IMD guidance and recent station observations showing consistent 3–5°C anomalies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 22, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$64,453End Date
Jun 24, 2026Market Opened
Jun 22, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate persistent heatwave conditions across Uttar Pradesh, with maximum temperatures likely reaching 40–42°C on June 24 amid clear skies, light winds, and above-normal surface heating. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 40°C and 41°C. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in afternoon convection timing, potential for localized dust or haze reducing insolation, and ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing; a modest increase in low-level moisture or brief cloud cover could cap the peak near 39°C, while stronger subsidence would favor 42°C or higher. Traders are weighting official IMD guidance and recent station observations showing consistent 3–5°C anomalies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$64,453End Date
Jun 24, 2026Market Opened
Jun 22, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate persistent heatwave conditions across Uttar Pradesh, with maximum temperatures likely reaching 40–42°C on June 24 amid clear skies, light winds, and above-normal surface heating. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 40°C and 41°C. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in afternoon convection timing, potential for localized dust or haze reducing insolation, and ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing; a modest increase in low-level moisture or brief cloud cover could cap the peak near 39°C, while stronger subsidence would favor 42°C or higher. Traders are weighting official IMD guidance and recent station observations showing consistent 3–5°C anomalies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions