Forecasts from sources like the India Meteorological Department and international models point to a highest temperature in Lucknow on September 18 near 32–34°C, driven by typical late-monsoon conditions featuring partial cloud cover, 30–50% storm chances, light westerly winds, and high humidity that limit daytime heating. Recent observations through September 16 show daytime maxima of 31–34°C with no sharp trend shifts, aligning with climatological September averages around 33°C. Model consensus remains stable ahead of the date, though scattered showers could trim the peak by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 34°C. Traders price the narrow 32–34°C band highest, reflecting this low-variability pattern and limited upside from drier air or stronger insolation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 18?
33°C 37%
34°C 26%
32°C 25%
31°C 12%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
12%
32°C
25%
33°C
37%
34°C
26%
35°C
9%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
2%
33°C 37%
34°C 26%
32°C 25%
31°C 12%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
12%
32°C
25%
33°C
37%
34°C
26%
35°C
9%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from sources like the India Meteorological Department and international models point to a highest temperature in Lucknow on September 18 near 32–34°C, driven by typical late-monsoon conditions featuring partial cloud cover, 30–50% storm chances, light westerly winds, and high humidity that limit daytime heating. Recent observations through September 16 show daytime maxima of 31–34°C with no sharp trend shifts, aligning with climatological September averages around 33°C. Model consensus remains stable ahead of the date, though scattered showers could trim the peak by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 34°C. Traders price the narrow 32–34°C band highest, reflecting this low-variability pattern and limited upside from drier air or stronger insolation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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