Forecast models from sources including the India Meteorological Department and international agencies indicate maximum temperatures in Lucknow on September 19 will likely fall in the 32–33°C range, reflecting typical late-monsoon conditions with scattered cloud cover, high humidity near 60–70%, and a 40–60% chance of thunderstorms that can suppress peak heating. Recent observations show daily highs fluctuating between 32–34°C amid variable steering winds and moisture from the Bay of Bengal, creating narrow margins between these outcomes. Minor differences in model timing for convective activity or breaks in cloud cover account for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 31–34°C, with traders weighing official guidance updates expected in the next 24–48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 19?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 19?
32°C 34%
33°C 29%
30°C 27%
31°C 23%
NEW
NEW
Sep 19, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
10%
30°C
27%
31°C
23%
32°C
34%
33°C
33%
34°C
18%
35°C
23%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 34%
33°C 29%
30°C 27%
31°C 23%
NEW
NEW
Sep 19, 2026
26°C or below
$261 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
10%
30°C
$0 Vol.
27%
31°C
$0 Vol.
23%
32°C
$144 Vol.
34%
33°C
$5 Vol.
33%
34°C
$5 Vol.
18%
35°C
$4 Vol.
23%
36°C or higher
$57 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the India Meteorological Department and international agencies indicate maximum temperatures in Lucknow on September 19 will likely fall in the 32–33°C range, reflecting typical late-monsoon conditions with scattered cloud cover, high humidity near 60–70%, and a 40–60% chance of thunderstorms that can suppress peak heating. Recent observations show daily highs fluctuating between 32–34°C amid variable steering winds and moisture from the Bay of Bengal, creating narrow margins between these outcomes. Minor differences in model timing for convective activity or breaks in cloud cover account for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 31–34°C, with traders weighing official guidance updates expected in the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$476End Date
Sep 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the India Meteorological Department and international agencies indicate maximum temperatures in Lucknow on September 19 will likely fall in the 32–33°C range, reflecting typical late-monsoon conditions with scattered cloud cover, high humidity near 60–70%, and a 40–60% chance of thunderstorms that can suppress peak heating. Recent observations show daily highs fluctuating between 32–34°C amid variable steering winds and moisture from the Bay of Bengal, creating narrow margins between these outcomes. Minor differences in model timing for convective activity or breaks in cloud cover account for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 31–34°C, with traders weighing official guidance updates expected in the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$476End Date
Sep 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the India Meteorological Department and international agencies indicate maximum temperatures in Lucknow on September 19 will likely fall in the 32–33°C range, reflecting typical late-monsoon conditions with scattered cloud cover, high humidity near 60–70%, and a 40–60% chance of thunderstorms that can suppress peak heating. Recent observations show daily highs fluctuating between 32–34°C amid variable steering winds and moisture from the Bay of Bengal, creating narrow margins between these outcomes. Minor differences in model timing for convective activity or breaks in cloud cover account for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 31–34°C, with traders weighing official guidance updates expected in the next 24–48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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