Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate increasing cloud cover and thunderstorm activity over Lucknow by September 24, driven by residual monsoon moisture and easterly wind patterns that favor widespread rain rather than clear skies. This setup typically caps daytime highs through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, shifting trader consensus toward the 28–30°C range where implied probabilities cluster near 67%. Recent observations show humidity near 70–80% and scattered showers already trimming maxima from late-summer peaks above 35°C. Key variables include the precise timing and intensity of rainfall—stronger systems could push readings toward 27–28°C, while any clearing would favor 31°C or higher. Updated IMD and NHC-equivalent guidance expected in the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 24?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 24?
29°C 26%
30°C 26%
28°C 19%
31°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
25°C or below
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
5%
28°C
19%
29°C
26%
30°C
33%
31°C
14%
32°C
7%
33°C
13%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 26%
30°C 26%
28°C 19%
31°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$5 Vol.
4%
27°C
$60 Vol.
5%
28°C
$0 Vol.
19%
29°C
$50 Vol.
26%
30°C
$162 Vol.
33%
31°C
$0 Vol.
14%
32°C
$0 Vol.
7%
33°C
$5 Vol.
13%
34°C
$100 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate increasing cloud cover and thunderstorm activity over Lucknow by September 24, driven by residual monsoon moisture and easterly wind patterns that favor widespread rain rather than clear skies. This setup typically caps daytime highs through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, shifting trader consensus toward the 28–30°C range where implied probabilities cluster near 67%. Recent observations show humidity near 70–80% and scattered showers already trimming maxima from late-summer peaks above 35°C. Key variables include the precise timing and intensity of rainfall—stronger systems could push readings toward 27–28°C, while any clearing would favor 31°C or higher. Updated IMD and NHC-equivalent guidance expected in the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$477End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate increasing cloud cover and thunderstorm activity over Lucknow by September 24, driven by residual monsoon moisture and easterly wind patterns that favor widespread rain rather than clear skies. This setup typically caps daytime highs through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, shifting trader consensus toward the 28–30°C range where implied probabilities cluster near 67%. Recent observations show humidity near 70–80% and scattered showers already trimming maxima from late-summer peaks above 35°C. Key variables include the precise timing and intensity of rainfall—stronger systems could push readings toward 27–28°C, while any clearing would favor 31°C or higher. Updated IMD and NHC-equivalent guidance expected in the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$477End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate increasing cloud cover and thunderstorm activity over Lucknow by September 24, driven by residual monsoon moisture and easterly wind patterns that favor widespread rain rather than clear skies. This setup typically caps daytime highs through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, shifting trader consensus toward the 28–30°C range where implied probabilities cluster near 67%. Recent observations show humidity near 70–80% and scattered showers already trimming maxima from late-summer peaks above 35°C. Key variables include the precise timing and intensity of rainfall—stronger systems could push readings toward 27–28°C, while any clearing would favor 31°C or higher. Updated IMD and NHC-equivalent guidance expected in the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions