Forecast models from PAGASA and international agencies indicate Metro Manila highs near 32–34°C on June 18 under partly cloudy skies with a 20–60% chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions, typical of the southwest monsoon onset, introduce uncertainty in peak temperatures through variable cloud cover and convective cooling that can suppress afternoon maxima below historical June averages of 32°C. Traders have clustered around 35°C and 36°C outcomes because recent satellite trends show periods of stronger insolation possible before any rain develops, while urban heat-island effects in Manila can add 1–2°C locally. Upcoming PAGASA updates and real-time observations will refine whether daytime heating reaches the upper end of the range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on June 18?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 18?
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$28,545 Vol.
$28,545 Vol.
Jun 18, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$28,545 Vol.
$28,545 Vol.
Jun 18, 2026
30°C or below
$207 Vol.
No
31°C
$359 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,191 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,245 Vol.
No
34°C
$4,051 Vol.
No
35°C
$3,042 Vol.
No
36°C
$5,356 Vol.
Yes
37°C
$4,623 Vol.
No
38°C
$3,315 Vol.
No
39°C
$802 Vol.
No
40°C or higher
$355 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from PAGASA and international agencies indicate Metro Manila highs near 32–34°C on June 18 under partly cloudy skies with a 20–60% chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions, typical of the southwest monsoon onset, introduce uncertainty in peak temperatures through variable cloud cover and convective cooling that can suppress afternoon maxima below historical June averages of 32°C. Traders have clustered around 35°C and 36°C outcomes because recent satellite trends show periods of stronger insolation possible before any rain develops, while urban heat-island effects in Manila can add 1–2°C locally. Upcoming PAGASA updates and real-time observations will refine whether daytime heating reaches the upper end of the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$28,545End Date
Jun 18, 2026Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from PAGASA and international agencies indicate Metro Manila highs near 32–34°C on June 18 under partly cloudy skies with a 20–60% chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions, typical of the southwest monsoon onset, introduce uncertainty in peak temperatures through variable cloud cover and convective cooling that can suppress afternoon maxima below historical June averages of 32°C. Traders have clustered around 35°C and 36°C outcomes because recent satellite trends show periods of stronger insolation possible before any rain develops, while urban heat-island effects in Manila can add 1–2°C locally. Upcoming PAGASA updates and real-time observations will refine whether daytime heating reaches the upper end of the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,545End Date
Jun 18, 2026Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Forecast models from PAGASA and international agencies indicate Metro Manila highs near 32–34°C on June 18 under partly cloudy skies with a 20–60% chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions, typical of the southwest monsoon onset, introduce uncertainty in peak temperatures through variable cloud cover and convective cooling that can suppress afternoon maxima below historical June averages of 32°C. Traders have clustered around 35°C and 36°C outcomes because recent satellite trends show periods of stronger insolation possible before any rain develops, while urban heat-island effects in Manila can add 1–2°C locally. Upcoming PAGASA updates and real-time observations will refine whether daytime heating reaches the upper end of the range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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