Recent forecasts for Manila indicate typical early southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions, with partly to mostly cloudy skies, isolated afternoon thunderstorms, and moderate humidity expected to moderate peak temperatures around 32–34°C on June 21. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and PAGASA aligns with seasonal averages near 32°C, though localized breaks in cloud cover or delayed convection could allow brief spikes toward 35–36°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values due to the inherent uncertainty in short-range tropical forecasts, where small shifts in steering winds, moisture influx, or rainfall timing differentiate outcomes by 1–2°C. Historical June maxima in Metro Manila rarely exceed 35°C under active monsoon influence, supporting the market's emphasis on near-term observational updates from official monitoring agencies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on June 21?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 21?
36°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$35,041 Vol.
$35,041 Vol.
Jun 21, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$35,041 Vol.
$35,041 Vol.
Jun 21, 2026
27°C or below
$1,014 Vol.
No
28°C
$414 Vol.
No
29°C
$483 Vol.
No
30°C
$420 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,037 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,882 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,455 Vol.
No
34°C
$7,112 Vol.
No
35°C
$4,886 Vol.
No
36°C
$8,214 Vol.
Yes
37°C or higher
$5,125 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila indicate typical early southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions, with partly to mostly cloudy skies, isolated afternoon thunderstorms, and moderate humidity expected to moderate peak temperatures around 32–34°C on June 21. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and PAGASA aligns with seasonal averages near 32°C, though localized breaks in cloud cover or delayed convection could allow brief spikes toward 35–36°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values due to the inherent uncertainty in short-range tropical forecasts, where small shifts in steering winds, moisture influx, or rainfall timing differentiate outcomes by 1–2°C. Historical June maxima in Metro Manila rarely exceed 35°C under active monsoon influence, supporting the market's emphasis on near-term observational updates from official monitoring agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 19, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Volume
$35,041End Date
Jun 21, 2026Market Opened
Jun 19, 2026, 12:26 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila indicate typical early southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions, with partly to mostly cloudy skies, isolated afternoon thunderstorms, and moderate humidity expected to moderate peak temperatures around 32–34°C on June 21. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and PAGASA aligns with seasonal averages near 32°C, though localized breaks in cloud cover or delayed convection could allow brief spikes toward 35–36°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values due to the inherent uncertainty in short-range tropical forecasts, where small shifts in steering winds, moisture influx, or rainfall timing differentiate outcomes by 1–2°C. Historical June maxima in Metro Manila rarely exceed 35°C under active monsoon influence, supporting the market's emphasis on near-term observational updates from official monitoring agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35,041End Date
Jun 21, 2026Market Opened
Jun 19, 2026, 12:26 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts for Manila indicate typical early southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions, with partly to mostly cloudy skies, isolated afternoon thunderstorms, and moderate humidity expected to moderate peak temperatures around 32–34°C on June 21. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and PAGASA aligns with seasonal averages near 32°C, though localized breaks in cloud cover or delayed convection could allow brief spikes toward 35–36°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values due to the inherent uncertainty in short-range tropical forecasts, where small shifts in steering winds, moisture influx, or rainfall timing differentiate outcomes by 1–2°C. Historical June maxima in Metro Manila rarely exceed 35°C under active monsoon influence, supporting the market's emphasis on near-term observational updates from official monitoring agencies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions