The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecast confirms a high temperature of 30-32°C in Mexico City today, April 26, driven by persistent mid-level anticyclonic circulation promoting clear skies and radiative heating at the high-altitude basin. This aligns with recent model consensus from SMN regional updates over the past 48 hours, showing sustained warm conditions amid minimal cloud cover and light winds. April climatology typically sees highs around 25°C, but current upper-air patterns have elevated trader-implied probabilities to near-certainty for 26°C or higher. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convective showers or a sudden influx of cooler moist air, though official guidance indicates low likelihood before evening resolution based on airport observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 26?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 26?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$113,615 Vol.
$113,615 Vol.
Apr 26, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
Yes
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$113,615 Vol.
$113,615 Vol.
Apr 26, 2026
16°C or below
$6,814 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,400 Vol.
No
18°C
$4,187 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,728 Vol.
No
20°C
$4,652 Vol.
No
21°C
$5,678 Vol.
No
22°C
$6,407 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,726 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,425 Vol.
No
25°C
$8,382 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$63,217 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecast confirms a high temperature of 30-32°C in Mexico City today, April 26, driven by persistent mid-level anticyclonic circulation promoting clear skies and radiative heating at the high-altitude basin. This aligns with recent model consensus from SMN regional updates over the past 48 hours, showing sustained warm conditions amid minimal cloud cover and light winds. April climatology typically sees highs around 25°C, but current upper-air patterns have elevated trader-implied probabilities to near-certainty for 26°C or higher. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convective showers or a sudden influx of cooler moist air, though official guidance indicates low likelihood before evening resolution based on airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$113,615End Date
Apr 26, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecast confirms a high temperature of 30-32°C in Mexico City today, April 26, driven by persistent mid-level anticyclonic circulation promoting clear skies and radiative heating at the high-altitude basin. This aligns with recent model consensus from SMN regional updates over the past 48 hours, showing sustained warm conditions amid minimal cloud cover and light winds. April climatology typically sees highs around 25°C, but current upper-air patterns have elevated trader-implied probabilities to near-certainty for 26°C or higher. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convective showers or a sudden influx of cooler moist air, though official guidance indicates low likelihood before evening resolution based on airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$113,615End Date
Apr 26, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecast confirms a high temperature of 30-32°C in Mexico City today, April 26, driven by persistent mid-level anticyclonic circulation promoting clear skies and radiative heating at the high-altitude basin. This aligns with recent model consensus from SMN regional updates over the past 48 hours, showing sustained warm conditions amid minimal cloud cover and light winds. April climatology typically sees highs around 25°C, but current upper-air patterns have elevated trader-implied probabilities to near-certainty for 26°C or higher. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convective showers or a sudden influx of cooler moist air, though official guidance indicates low likelihood before evening resolution based on airport observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions