Trader consensus assigns near-certainty to a 92–93°F high in Miami on June 17 because National Weather Service model guidance and subtropical ridge persistence consistently projected afternoon peaks in that narrow band under typical early-summer conditions. With a seasonal normal of 89°F, recent heat-advisory episodes and drier air aloft supported modest intensification, keeping observed values near the upper end of the forecast envelope. The official Miami International Airport reading of 94°F fell just outside the leading bin yet remained within the low-to-mid-90s consensus range. Only an unexpected convective outbreak or rapid marine-layer intrusion could have shifted the peak downward; instead, clear skies and light winds locked in the elevated outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on June 17?
92-93°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$80,474 Vol.
$80,474 Vol.
83°F or below
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$80,474 Vol.
$80,474 Vol.
83°F or below
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus assigns near-certainty to a 92–93°F high in Miami on June 17 because National Weather Service model guidance and subtropical ridge persistence consistently projected afternoon peaks in that narrow band under typical early-summer conditions. With a seasonal normal of 89°F, recent heat-advisory episodes and drier air aloft supported modest intensification, keeping observed values near the upper end of the forecast envelope. The official Miami International Airport reading of 94°F fell just outside the leading bin yet remained within the low-to-mid-90s consensus range. Only an unexpected convective outbreak or rapid marine-layer intrusion could have shifted the peak downward; instead, clear skies and light winds locked in the elevated outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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