Trader consensus favors a Miami high of 90–93°F on June 23, aligning with late-June climatology where mean daily maxima reach 88–89°F and rarely exceed 91°F. Current model guidance and regional high-pressure patterns support modest warming under partly cloudy skies, with light easterly flow and typical sea-breeze development limiting extreme heat. Afternoon convection common in South Florida may cap temperatures, while urban heat-island effects and elevated dew points near 75–78°F add slight upward pressure. Recent stable conditions without strong subtropical ridging keep the distribution centered on the 90–93°F bin rather than higher outliers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on June 23?
90-91°F 100.0%
85°F or below <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$66,829 Vol.
$66,829 Vol.
85°F or below
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
Yes
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104°F or higher
No
90-91°F 100.0%
85°F or below <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$66,829 Vol.
$66,829 Vol.
85°F or below
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
Yes
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 21, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus favors a Miami high of 90–93°F on June 23, aligning with late-June climatology where mean daily maxima reach 88–89°F and rarely exceed 91°F. Current model guidance and regional high-pressure patterns support modest warming under partly cloudy skies, with light easterly flow and typical sea-breeze development limiting extreme heat. Afternoon convection common in South Florida may cap temperatures, while urban heat-island effects and elevated dew points near 75–78°F add slight upward pressure. Recent stable conditions without strong subtropical ridging keep the distribution centered on the 90–93°F bin rather than higher outliers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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