National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a daily high temperature of 92-93°F on May 8, 2026, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This peak resulted from a dominant upper-level high-pressure ridge over South Florida, which minimized cloud cover and sea-breeze influences, enabling prolonged solar heating under light winds—conditions aligning with NWS Miami forecasts projecting lows 90s amid an ongoing regional heat episode following a 94°F record on May 2. Compared to the 86°F climatological normal and 95°F all-time May 8 record (2010), the data reflects strong model consensus from prior GFS and ECMWF runs. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data audits or sensor recalibrations by NOAA, though official daily summaries typically finalize such metrics. Final CLI report expected shortly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on May 8?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 8?
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$79,724 Vol.
$79,724 Vol.
May 8, 2026
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$79,724 Vol.
$79,724 Vol.
May 8, 2026
79°F or below
$7,107 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$2,402 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$2,969 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$3,924 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$7,120 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$11,242 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$8,393 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$10,831 Vol.
Yes
94-95°F
$9,532 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$7,435 Vol.
No
98°F or higher
$8,768 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a daily high temperature of 92-93°F on May 8, 2026, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This peak resulted from a dominant upper-level high-pressure ridge over South Florida, which minimized cloud cover and sea-breeze influences, enabling prolonged solar heating under light winds—conditions aligning with NWS Miami forecasts projecting lows 90s amid an ongoing regional heat episode following a 94°F record on May 2. Compared to the 86°F climatological normal and 95°F all-time May 8 record (2010), the data reflects strong model consensus from prior GFS and ECMWF runs. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data audits or sensor recalibrations by NOAA, though official daily summaries typically finalize such metrics. Final CLI report expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 6, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volume
$79,724End Date
May 8, 2026Market Opened
May 6, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a daily high temperature of 92-93°F on May 8, 2026, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This peak resulted from a dominant upper-level high-pressure ridge over South Florida, which minimized cloud cover and sea-breeze influences, enabling prolonged solar heating under light winds—conditions aligning with NWS Miami forecasts projecting lows 90s amid an ongoing regional heat episode following a 94°F record on May 2. Compared to the 86°F climatological normal and 95°F all-time May 8 record (2010), the data reflects strong model consensus from prior GFS and ECMWF runs. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data audits or sensor recalibrations by NOAA, though official daily summaries typically finalize such metrics. Final CLI report expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$79,724End Date
May 8, 2026Market Opened
May 6, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a daily high temperature of 92-93°F on May 8, 2026, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This peak resulted from a dominant upper-level high-pressure ridge over South Florida, which minimized cloud cover and sea-breeze influences, enabling prolonged solar heating under light winds—conditions aligning with NWS Miami forecasts projecting lows 90s amid an ongoing regional heat episode following a 94°F record on May 2. Compared to the 86°F climatological normal and 95°F all-time May 8 record (2010), the data reflects strong model consensus from prior GFS and ECMWF runs. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data audits or sensor recalibrations by NOAA, though official daily summaries typically finalize such metrics. Final CLI report expected shortly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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