Latest European forecast models, including BBC guidance, show Warsaw under a warm southerly flow with sunny intervals and light northerly winds on June 30, supporting a maximum near 32°C after several days of anomalous heat exceeding 35°C. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from variable cloud cover and possible thundery showers that could limit boundary-layer heating or allow brief cooling, keeping 31°C and 32°C outcomes tightly matched in trader pricing. June climatology places normal highs around 23–25°C, so current conditions reflect a short-lived positive anomaly rather than seasonal norms, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour peak recorded by official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 30?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 30?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$98,934 Vol.
$98,934 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$98,934 Vol.
$98,934 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
26°C or below
$5,117 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,208 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,039 Vol.
No
29°C
$23,042 Vol.
No
30°C
$18,286 Vol.
No
31°C
$9,265 Vol.
No
32°C
$12,881 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$7,088 Vol.
No
34°C
$4,558 Vol.
No
35°C
$3,559 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$9,890 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest European forecast models, including BBC guidance, show Warsaw under a warm southerly flow with sunny intervals and light northerly winds on June 30, supporting a maximum near 32°C after several days of anomalous heat exceeding 35°C. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from variable cloud cover and possible thundery showers that could limit boundary-layer heating or allow brief cooling, keeping 31°C and 32°C outcomes tightly matched in trader pricing. June climatology places normal highs around 23–25°C, so current conditions reflect a short-lived positive anomaly rather than seasonal norms, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour peak recorded by official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 28, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$98,934End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 28, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest European forecast models, including BBC guidance, show Warsaw under a warm southerly flow with sunny intervals and light northerly winds on June 30, supporting a maximum near 32°C after several days of anomalous heat exceeding 35°C. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from variable cloud cover and possible thundery showers that could limit boundary-layer heating or allow brief cooling, keeping 31°C and 32°C outcomes tightly matched in trader pricing. June climatology places normal highs around 23–25°C, so current conditions reflect a short-lived positive anomaly rather than seasonal norms, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour peak recorded by official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$98,934End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 28, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Latest European forecast models, including BBC guidance, show Warsaw under a warm southerly flow with sunny intervals and light northerly winds on June 30, supporting a maximum near 32°C after several days of anomalous heat exceeding 35°C. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from variable cloud cover and possible thundery showers that could limit boundary-layer heating or allow brief cooling, keeping 31°C and 32°C outcomes tightly matched in trader pricing. June climatology places normal highs around 23–25°C, so current conditions reflect a short-lived positive anomaly rather than seasonal norms, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour peak recorded by official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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