Recent meteorological model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to peak highs of 34–35°C in Milan on June 25 amid a stable high-pressure ridge advecting warm subtropical air northward, with light winds and minimal cloud cover supporting strong diurnal heating. Current surface observations show temperatures already reaching the mid-30s°C in preceding days, elevating baseline expectations, while minor discrepancies in forecast timing of any weak trough or localized convection introduce spread across the 33–36°C range. Traders weigh these variables against historical June extremes near 30°C averages, with resolution hinging on official Italian meteorological service readings at representative urban stations. Updated model runs and short-range guidance expected within 48 hours could refine the tight 34–35°C market split.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on June 25?
Highest temperature in Milan on June 25?
35°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$50,176 Vol.
$50,176 Vol.
Jun 25, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$50,176 Vol.
$50,176 Vol.
Jun 25, 2026
30°C or below
$1,287 Vol.
No
31°C
$524 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,894 Vol.
No
33°C
$8,516 Vol.
No
34°C
$13,690 Vol.
No
35°C
$11,394 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$6,402 Vol.
No
37°C
$1,498 Vol.
No
38°C
$985 Vol.
No
39°C
$514 Vol.
No
40°C or higher
$473 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to peak highs of 34–35°C in Milan on June 25 amid a stable high-pressure ridge advecting warm subtropical air northward, with light winds and minimal cloud cover supporting strong diurnal heating. Current surface observations show temperatures already reaching the mid-30s°C in preceding days, elevating baseline expectations, while minor discrepancies in forecast timing of any weak trough or localized convection introduce spread across the 33–36°C range. Traders weigh these variables against historical June extremes near 30°C averages, with resolution hinging on official Italian meteorological service readings at representative urban stations. Updated model runs and short-range guidance expected within 48 hours could refine the tight 34–35°C market split.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 23, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$50,176End Date
Jun 25, 2026Market Opened
Jun 23, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to peak highs of 34–35°C in Milan on June 25 amid a stable high-pressure ridge advecting warm subtropical air northward, with light winds and minimal cloud cover supporting strong diurnal heating. Current surface observations show temperatures already reaching the mid-30s°C in preceding days, elevating baseline expectations, while minor discrepancies in forecast timing of any weak trough or localized convection introduce spread across the 33–36°C range. Traders weigh these variables against historical June extremes near 30°C averages, with resolution hinging on official Italian meteorological service readings at representative urban stations. Updated model runs and short-range guidance expected within 48 hours could refine the tight 34–35°C market split.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50,176End Date
Jun 25, 2026Market Opened
Jun 23, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent meteorological model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to peak highs of 34–35°C in Milan on June 25 amid a stable high-pressure ridge advecting warm subtropical air northward, with light winds and minimal cloud cover supporting strong diurnal heating. Current surface observations show temperatures already reaching the mid-30s°C in preceding days, elevating baseline expectations, while minor discrepancies in forecast timing of any weak trough or localized convection introduce spread across the 33–36°C range. Traders weigh these variables against historical June extremes near 30°C averages, with resolution hinging on official Italian meteorological service readings at representative urban stations. Updated model runs and short-range guidance expected within 48 hours could refine the tight 34–35°C market split.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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