Recent official forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and local monitoring indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum of 22–23 °C on June 15, aligning with the market’s near-certain 22 °C outcome. Mid-June climatology for the region shows average highs near 20–22 °C under typical high-pressure patterns, and current model consensus supports stable, partly cloudy conditions without significant advection of warmer air. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects both the narrow forecast range and the precise resolution criteria tied to official station readings. A late-day surge from an unmodeled warm front or measurement variability at the primary observatory could still shift the exact high, though such deviations appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on June 15?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 15?
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$47,149 Vol.
$47,149 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$47,149 Vol.
$47,149 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
16°C or below
$399 Vol.
No
17°C
$3,356 Vol.
No
18°C
$3,848 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,416 Vol.
No
20°C
$3,084 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,226 Vol.
No
22°C
$8,836 Vol.
Yes
23°C
$7,012 Vol.
No
24°C
$4,252 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,422 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$6,298 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and local monitoring indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum of 22–23 °C on June 15, aligning with the market’s near-certain 22 °C outcome. Mid-June climatology for the region shows average highs near 20–22 °C under typical high-pressure patterns, and current model consensus supports stable, partly cloudy conditions without significant advection of warmer air. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects both the narrow forecast range and the precise resolution criteria tied to official station readings. A late-day surge from an unmodeled warm front or measurement variability at the primary observatory could still shift the exact high, though such deviations appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volume
$47,149End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and local monitoring indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum of 22–23 °C on June 15, aligning with the market’s near-certain 22 °C outcome. Mid-June climatology for the region shows average highs near 20–22 °C under typical high-pressure patterns, and current model consensus supports stable, partly cloudy conditions without significant advection of warmer air. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects both the narrow forecast range and the precise resolution criteria tied to official station readings. A late-day surge from an unmodeled warm front or measurement variability at the primary observatory could still shift the exact high, though such deviations appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$47,149End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent official forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and local monitoring indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum of 22–23 °C on June 15, aligning with the market’s near-certain 22 °C outcome. Mid-June climatology for the region shows average highs near 20–22 °C under typical high-pressure patterns, and current model consensus supports stable, partly cloudy conditions without significant advection of warmer air. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects both the narrow forecast range and the precise resolution criteria tied to official station readings. A late-day surge from an unmodeled warm front or measurement variability at the primary observatory could still shift the exact high, though such deviations appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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