Current numerical weather models, including outputs aligned with GFS and ECMWF guidance, indicate a high of 22–24°C for Munich on September 1 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and stable high pressure with minimal precipitation risk. This consensus drives the market's heaviest weighting toward 24°C and 23°C, reflecting typical early-September climatology near 21–22°C highs while accounting for modest model spread in daytime maximums. Low moisture and absent strong advection limit upside potential above 25°C or downside below 22°C, with final resolution hinging on observational data from local stations. Traders appear to price the narrow uncertainty window ahead of any last-model updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on September 1?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 1?
24°C 45%
23°C 29%
25°C 15%
22°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
6%
22°C
8%
23°C
29%
24°C
45%
25°C
15%
26°C
7%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 45%
23°C 29%
25°C 15%
22°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
3%
21°C
$0 Vol.
6%
22°C
$131 Vol.
8%
23°C
$435 Vol.
29%
24°C
$656 Vol.
45%
25°C
$56 Vol.
15%
26°C
$0 Vol.
7%
27°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models, including outputs aligned with GFS and ECMWF guidance, indicate a high of 22–24°C for Munich on September 1 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and stable high pressure with minimal precipitation risk. This consensus drives the market's heaviest weighting toward 24°C and 23°C, reflecting typical early-September climatology near 21–22°C highs while accounting for modest model spread in daytime maximums. Low moisture and absent strong advection limit upside potential above 25°C or downside below 22°C, with final resolution hinging on observational data from local stations. Traders appear to price the narrow uncertainty window ahead of any last-model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,278End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models, including outputs aligned with GFS and ECMWF guidance, indicate a high of 22–24°C for Munich on September 1 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and stable high pressure with minimal precipitation risk. This consensus drives the market's heaviest weighting toward 24°C and 23°C, reflecting typical early-September climatology near 21–22°C highs while accounting for modest model spread in daytime maximums. Low moisture and absent strong advection limit upside potential above 25°C or downside below 22°C, with final resolution hinging on observational data from local stations. Traders appear to price the narrow uncertainty window ahead of any last-model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,278End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models, including outputs aligned with GFS and ECMWF guidance, indicate a high of 22–24°C for Munich on September 1 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and stable high pressure with minimal precipitation risk. This consensus drives the market's heaviest weighting toward 24°C and 23°C, reflecting typical early-September climatology near 21–22°C highs while accounting for modest model spread in daytime maximums. Low moisture and absent strong advection limit upside potential above 25°C or downside below 22°C, with final resolution hinging on observational data from local stations. Traders appear to price the narrow uncertainty window ahead of any last-model updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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