National Weather Service ensemble models project a daily high in the mid-70s for New York City on May 25, driven by persistent southerly warm-air advection and mostly clear skies that enhance surface heating in line with late-May climatology. This robust model consensus underpins the market-implied 100% probability for a high of 70°F or higher. Historical May averages near 74°F further align with current conditions, while minor uncertainty centers on the precise timing of any weak frontal boundary or localized marine-layer influences that could briefly limit readings. Refreshed short-range guidance will continue to refine boundary-layer details and steering flow ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on May 25?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 25?
70°F or higher 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$65,983 Vol.
$65,983 Vol.
May 25, 2026
51°F or below
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70°F or higher
Yes
70°F or higher 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$65,983 Vol.
$65,983 Vol.
May 25, 2026
51°F or below
$4,064 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$755 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$1,990 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$1,487 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$4,324 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$2,692 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$3,936 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$5,050 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$10,353 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$17,759 Vol.
No
70°F or higher
$13,572 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service ensemble models project a daily high in the mid-70s for New York City on May 25, driven by persistent southerly warm-air advection and mostly clear skies that enhance surface heating in line with late-May climatology. This robust model consensus underpins the market-implied 100% probability for a high of 70°F or higher. Historical May averages near 74°F further align with current conditions, while minor uncertainty centers on the precise timing of any weak frontal boundary or localized marine-layer influences that could briefly limit readings. Refreshed short-range guidance will continue to refine boundary-layer details and steering flow ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 23, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volume
$65,983End Date
May 25, 2026Market Opened
May 23, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service ensemble models project a daily high in the mid-70s for New York City on May 25, driven by persistent southerly warm-air advection and mostly clear skies that enhance surface heating in line with late-May climatology. This robust model consensus underpins the market-implied 100% probability for a high of 70°F or higher. Historical May averages near 74°F further align with current conditions, while minor uncertainty centers on the precise timing of any weak frontal boundary or localized marine-layer influences that could briefly limit readings. Refreshed short-range guidance will continue to refine boundary-layer details and steering flow ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$65,983End Date
May 25, 2026Market Opened
May 23, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
National Weather Service ensemble models project a daily high in the mid-70s for New York City on May 25, driven by persistent southerly warm-air advection and mostly clear skies that enhance surface heating in line with late-May climatology. This robust model consensus underpins the market-implied 100% probability for a high of 70°F or higher. Historical May averages near 74°F further align with current conditions, while minor uncertainty centers on the precise timing of any weak frontal boundary or localized marine-layer influences that could briefly limit readings. Refreshed short-range guidance will continue to refine boundary-layer details and steering flow ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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