The market's near-certain alignment with a 70-71°F daily maximum in New York City on May 30 stems from verified surface observations at National Weather Service stations, which recorded peak temperatures squarely in this range under typical late-spring atmospheric conditions. Regional data showed moderate humidity, light winds, and stable high-pressure influence that limited further warming, consistent with climatological baselines for the Northeast in late May. With resolution tied directly to official instrumental readings rather than forecasts, few variables remain open to revision. Only substantial post-analysis corrections to station data or equipment anomalies could alter the outcome, though such adjustments are rare given NOAA quality-control standards.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on May 30?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 30?
70-71°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$214,581 Vol.
$214,581 Vol.
May 30, 2026
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$214,581 Vol.
$214,581 Vol.
May 30, 2026
59°F or below
$8,852 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$8,999 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$17,126 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$8,460 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$8,362 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$17,476 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$80,735 Vol.
Yes
72-73°F
$19,687 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$21,575 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$15,974 Vol.
No
78°F or higher
$7,335 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain alignment with a 70-71°F daily maximum in New York City on May 30 stems from verified surface observations at National Weather Service stations, which recorded peak temperatures squarely in this range under typical late-spring atmospheric conditions. Regional data showed moderate humidity, light winds, and stable high-pressure influence that limited further warming, consistent with climatological baselines for the Northeast in late May. With resolution tied directly to official instrumental readings rather than forecasts, few variables remain open to revision. Only substantial post-analysis corrections to station data or equipment anomalies could alter the outcome, though such adjustments are rare given NOAA quality-control standards.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: May 28, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$214,581End Date
May 30, 2026Market Opened
May 28, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain alignment with a 70-71°F daily maximum in New York City on May 30 stems from verified surface observations at National Weather Service stations, which recorded peak temperatures squarely in this range under typical late-spring atmospheric conditions. Regional data showed moderate humidity, light winds, and stable high-pressure influence that limited further warming, consistent with climatological baselines for the Northeast in late May. With resolution tied directly to official instrumental readings rather than forecasts, few variables remain open to revision. Only substantial post-analysis corrections to station data or equipment anomalies could alter the outcome, though such adjustments are rare given NOAA quality-control standards.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$214,581End Date
May 30, 2026Market Opened
May 28, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The market's near-certain alignment with a 70-71°F daily maximum in New York City on May 30 stems from verified surface observations at National Weather Service stations, which recorded peak temperatures squarely in this range under typical late-spring atmospheric conditions. Regional data showed moderate humidity, light winds, and stable high-pressure influence that limited further warming, consistent with climatological baselines for the Northeast in late May. With resolution tied directly to official instrumental readings rather than forecasts, few variables remain open to revision. Only substantial post-analysis corrections to station data or equipment anomalies could alter the outcome, though such adjustments are rare given NOAA quality-control standards.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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