Latest global forecast models, including those from NOAA and regional meteorological services, indicate peak temperatures in Panama City on August 10 will most likely reach 33–35°C amid typical wet-season conditions of high humidity, light trade winds, and scattered afternoon convection. Trader consensus has clustered around 34°C at 53.5% implied probability because recent model runs show sufficient insolation and minimal cloud interference to push daily maxima above the long-term August average of 29–32°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, though minor shifts in steering patterns or timing of showers could still favor 33°C or 35°C. Official verification will rely on standardized station measurements, with final updates expected overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 10?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 10?
34°C 53%
33°C 23%
35°C 19%
32°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
7%
33°C
23%
34°C
53%
35°C
19%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 53%
33°C 23%
35°C 19%
32°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
28°C or below
$56 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$42 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$565 Vol.
1%
31°C
$317 Vol.
2%
32°C
$193 Vol.
7%
33°C
$541 Vol.
23%
34°C
$3,328 Vol.
53%
35°C
$308 Vol.
19%
36°C
$313 Vol.
1%
37°C
$158 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$1,029 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest global forecast models, including those from NOAA and regional meteorological services, indicate peak temperatures in Panama City on August 10 will most likely reach 33–35°C amid typical wet-season conditions of high humidity, light trade winds, and scattered afternoon convection. Trader consensus has clustered around 34°C at 53.5% implied probability because recent model runs show sufficient insolation and minimal cloud interference to push daily maxima above the long-term August average of 29–32°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, though minor shifts in steering patterns or timing of showers could still favor 33°C or 35°C. Official verification will rely on standardized station measurements, with final updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$6,850End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest global forecast models, including those from NOAA and regional meteorological services, indicate peak temperatures in Panama City on August 10 will most likely reach 33–35°C amid typical wet-season conditions of high humidity, light trade winds, and scattered afternoon convection. Trader consensus has clustered around 34°C at 53.5% implied probability because recent model runs show sufficient insolation and minimal cloud interference to push daily maxima above the long-term August average of 29–32°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, though minor shifts in steering patterns or timing of showers could still favor 33°C or 35°C. Official verification will rely on standardized station measurements, with final updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,850End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest global forecast models, including those from NOAA and regional meteorological services, indicate peak temperatures in Panama City on August 10 will most likely reach 33–35°C amid typical wet-season conditions of high humidity, light trade winds, and scattered afternoon convection. Trader consensus has clustered around 34°C at 53.5% implied probability because recent model runs show sufficient insolation and minimal cloud interference to push daily maxima above the long-term August average of 29–32°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, though minor shifts in steering patterns or timing of showers could still favor 33°C or 35°C. Official verification will rely on standardized station measurements, with final updates expected overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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