Recent forecasts from agencies such as the Met Office and AccuWeather point to a daytime maximum of 31–33°C in Panama City on August 21, supporting the market’s near-even split between 32°C and 33°C at 38% each. During the wet season, the Intertropical Convergence Zone fuels afternoon convection, cloud cover, and showers that typically cap highs near the long-term August average of 30–32°C while suppressing spikes above 34°C. High humidity and moderate steering patterns add stability, though brief clear intervals could allow modest warming; historical data show limited day-to-day variability this time of year. Traders weigh these dynamics against official observations expected to resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 21?
32°C 40%
33°C 39%
34°C 11%
31°C 9%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
40%
33°C
39%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 40%
33°C 39%
34°C 11%
31°C 9%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
40%
33°C
39%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies such as the Met Office and AccuWeather point to a daytime maximum of 31–33°C in Panama City on August 21, supporting the market’s near-even split between 32°C and 33°C at 38% each. During the wet season, the Intertropical Convergence Zone fuels afternoon convection, cloud cover, and showers that typically cap highs near the long-term August average of 30–32°C while suppressing spikes above 34°C. High humidity and moderate steering patterns add stability, though brief clear intervals could allow modest warming; historical data show limited day-to-day variability this time of year. Traders weigh these dynamics against official observations expected to resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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